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基于交通管控效应的中国COVID-19疫情扩散的时空特征及其危险性 被引量:5
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作者 牛方曲 辛钟龄 王芳 《热带地理》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第1期1-11,共11页
基于中国各级卫健委公布的疫情数据和全国列车数据,结合交通管控措施解析了中国COVID-19疫情扩散的时空特征和危害性,以及湖北“封省”对全国铁路系统的影响,结果发现:1)中国的疫情增长过程高度符合Logistic分布;空间上由湖北往东、南... 基于中国各级卫健委公布的疫情数据和全国列车数据,结合交通管控措施解析了中国COVID-19疫情扩散的时空特征和危害性,以及湖北“封省”对全国铁路系统的影响,结果发现:1)中国的疫情增长过程高度符合Logistic分布;空间上由湖北往东、南方向蔓延强度较大,各省内部疫情较为严重的地区通常为省会或经济发达城市。基于交通管控对疫情扩散的扰动,揭示了COVID-19的平均潜伏期约为4 d;并基于此测算了疫情的基本再生指数(R0),结果显示:R0整体上呈波动下降趋势,截至2020-04-08全国各地区的R0均趋于1;湖北以外的愈亡比远高于湖北,表明在医疗资源充足的情况下,疫情的危险性可以大幅降低。2)通过湖北“封省”管控前后的铁路网络对比得出,湖北“封省”措施对中心性较高的城市影响较大,尤其是长三角地区,对中心性较低的城市影响微弱;此外,“封省”措施对全国铁路网络整体连通性不会产生根本性的影响。 展开更多
关键词 新冠肺炎 铁路交通 疫情扩散 基本再生数 潜伏期
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我国省域出口增加值的核算及其对产业结构的影响评估 被引量:1
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作者 李方一 刘思佳 唐志鹏 《热带地理》 2016年第6期1026-1033,共8页
以2010年中国非竞争型区域间投入产出表为基础,对30个省区市的出口增加值进行核算,从全国和区域尺度分析其对产业结构的影响。结果显示:省域出口增加值对全国产业结构的影响存在显著差异,划分出资源消耗型、技术引领型、服务业促进型和... 以2010年中国非竞争型区域间投入产出表为基础,对30个省区市的出口增加值进行核算,从全国和区域尺度分析其对产业结构的影响。结果显示:省域出口增加值对全国产业结构的影响存在显著差异,划分出资源消耗型、技术引领型、服务业促进型和出口起步型4类区域,前3类区域通过出口增加值分别提升了全国GDP中资源密集型产业、技术密集型产业和服务业的比例;从出口增加值对本地产业结构的影响来看,欠发达地区出口增加值普遍有利于推动本地产业结构升级,发达地区出口增加值提升了资源密集型产业和技术密集型产业在地区GDP中的比例,但阻碍了服务业比例的提升,出口增加值结构需要进一步优化。最后提出促进和改善出口增加值的政策建议。 展开更多
关键词 区域间投入产出表 出口增加值 产业结构 区域差异
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Contributions of Social-ecological Drivers to Land Use Transitions in Protected Areas on the Tibetan Plateau:Shifting from Strong Intervention to a New Balance
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作者 YANG Ding YANG Zhenshan +2 位作者 CHEN Dongjun CHENG Yiting SONG Jinping 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2024年第4期977-990,共14页
The establishment and management of protected areas(PAs)often involve modifying traditional land use rights and changing the production and living activities of locals,which can lead to changes in the factors that dri... The establishment and management of protected areas(PAs)often involve modifying traditional land use rights and changing the production and living activities of locals,which can lead to changes in the factors that drive land use transitions.Our understanding of the spatiotemporal patterns of land use transition and the contributions of social-ecological drivers remains incomplete.In this study,we focused on the Yarlung Zangbu Grand Canyon National Park and examined how social-ecological factors influence land use transitions by developing a theoretical model of land use transitions within PAs.Our findings revealed that cropland,shrubland,grassland,and wetland experienced net losses in area,while forestland,water,ice/snow,barren land,and impervious land exhibited fluctuating growth patterns from 1985 to 2020.The net decrease in grassland was 157425.60 ha,while the net increase in forest was 140709.20 ha.The quality of land habitat increased from 0.5158 to 0.6656.Land use dominant and recessive transitions displayed varying spatial characteristics and scales across different time periods.In particular,the degree of influence of policy factors on land use dominant transition declined from 0.0800 in 1985-1990 to -0.0432 in 2010-2020,while its influence on land use recessive transition declined from 0.00058 in 1985-1990 to 0 in 2010-2020.The results show that social-ecological factors intricately influenced different types of land use transitions,leading to a shift from a balanced state to a new equilibrium.These results enhance our understanding of the spatiotemporal patterns and complex dynamics of land use transitions within PAs,providing insights and practical implications for effective land management in PAs by considering the land-human relationships. 展开更多
关键词 land use transition social-ecological systems spatial econometric models InVEST model Yarlung Zangbu Grand Canyon National Park
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Spatial Differentiation of Rural Touristization and Its Determinants in China: A Geo-detector-based Case Study of Yesanpo Scenic Area 被引量:32
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作者 WANG Xinge XI Jianchao +1 位作者 YANG Dongyang CHEN Tian 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2016年第6期464-471,共8页
Tourism has emerged as a major driving force in the growth and expansion of rural settlements. After several studies revealed spatial differentiation of touristization among rural settlements, studies were conducted t... Tourism has emerged as a major driving force in the growth and expansion of rural settlements. After several studies revealed spatial differentiation of touristization among rural settlements, studies were conducted to explain this phenomenon. However, most of these studies explained spatial differentiation of rural touristization in a qualitative way. More robust and detailed quantitative results are needed to evaluate the relative roles of different factors. In this study, which takes Yesanpo tourism as a case study, the Geo-detector method was introduced to evaluate determining factors of rural touristization. Results show that "distance to core entry", "tourist number and sojourn time", and "distance to the nearest scenic area" have had a strong effect on the rural touristization in Ye- sanpo, whereas "distance to river", "elevation", "distance to main road", and "slope" have had a weak influence. The latter did, however, contribute a lot to touristization when interacting with "distance to core entry", "tourist number and sojourn time", and "distance to the nearest scenic", indicating the importance of these four factors. Higher rural touristization occurred in the zone near the core entry, with many tourists, long sojourn times, and proximity to the scenic area. 展开更多
关键词 rural touristization spatial differentiation determinants Geo-detector Yesanpo scenic area
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The Evaluation System and Application of the Homestay Agglomeration Location Selection 被引量:5
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作者 LONG Fei LIU Jiaming +2 位作者 YU Hu ZHU He ZHANG Shuying 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2019年第3期324-334,共11页
The location of the homestay agglomeration is closely related to its proximity to the resources environment and the humanities and social environments. From the macroscopic and microscopic aspects, this study uses the... The location of the homestay agglomeration is closely related to its proximity to the resources environment and the humanities and social environments. From the macroscopic and microscopic aspects, this study uses the analytic hierarchy process and the expert consultation method to construct a relatively comprehensive evaluation system including economic and environmental factors, tourism development factors, geographical environment factors, supporting facilities and operating conditions. The evaluation index system consists of 20 evaluation indexes and 35 evaluation factors. Taking the Baileqiao in Hangzhou and Qianjiadian Town in Beijing as examples, the evaluation indexes are verified and applied. The results show that the main factors affecting the location of the homestay agglomeration are the economic and environmental factors. The evaluation index system is composed of a target layer, a comprehensive evaluation layer, a factor evaluation layer and an index layer. The target layer takes reas on able locati on of the homestay agglomerati on as the overall objective;the comprehe nsive evaluati on layer includes economic and environ mental factors (0.4396), tourism development (0.3039), geographic and enviro mental factors (0.1405), and supporting facilities (0.0545). The comprehensive evaluation scores of Baileqiao and Qianjiadia n homestay agglomerations are 92.644 and 88.734, respectively, indicati ng that both are reas on able homestay sites. This study is helpful for promoting the understanding of the homestay agglomeration location selection and the development and construction of homestay agglomeration sites. 展开更多
关键词 homestay agglomeration location selection evaluation system APPLICATION
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Reconsidering the Suitability Assessment Method for Glacier Tourism:A Case Study from Tibet,China 被引量:1
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作者 YU Hu XU Linlin LIU Limin 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2022年第4期687-696,共10页
Glacier retreat is becoming more widespread and severe due to global warming,and improper exploitation of glacier resources by tourism activities accelerates the destruction of glacier landscapes.Therefore,establishin... Glacier retreat is becoming more widespread and severe due to global warming,and improper exploitation of glacier resources by tourism activities accelerates the destruction of glacier landscapes.Therefore,establishing a set of quantitative assessment tools is critical for guiding the rational utilization of glacier tourism resources.This study selected regional tourism resources,the natural environment of glaciers,service support,and market demand factors to build a suitability assessment method for glacier tourism(SAMGT),and it used the Delphi and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)to determine the index weights,and combined them with GIS analysis technology.The Tibet autonomous region was proposed in this study as a case to build the SAMGT and provide scientific support for the rational development,scientific management,and sustainable development of glacier tourism resources.With regard to influencing the suitability of glacier tourism resource development,the results indicate that the weights of glacier resource endowment,ecological vulnerability,and tourism resource combination were high whereas that of market demand-related factors was low.The glacier tourism resource development area in Tibet can be divided into suitable,relatively suitable,barely suitable,and unsuitable exploitation zones,accounting for 5.39%,9.76%,15.28%,and 69.57%of the total area,respectively.Five representative glaciers were selected to verify the validity or test the rationality of SAMGT and prove that the model is reasonable,innovative,and effective from the perspectives of multiple dimensions and the comprehensiveness of the selected indicators. 展开更多
关键词 glacier tourism suitability assessment method TIBET
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