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地方债务、消费投资与经济增长 被引量:3
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作者 吴志军 黄显池 陈飞羽 《统计与决策》 北大核心 2023年第4期137-142,共6页
文章基于2009—2019年的我国地方债务省级面板数据,重新审视了地方债务触发机制及其与消费投资、经济增长的内在关系,研究结果表明:(1)地方债务对经济增长呈现显著“倒U”型影响,债务水平阈值约83%,若地方债务规模扩大且超越债务平衡点... 文章基于2009—2019年的我国地方债务省级面板数据,重新审视了地方债务触发机制及其与消费投资、经济增长的内在关系,研究结果表明:(1)地方债务对经济增长呈现显著“倒U”型影响,债务水平阈值约83%,若地方债务规模扩大且超越债务平衡点,则会反噬经济增长,这在稳健性检验中得到验证。(2)从机制分析角度看,地方债务对经济增长产生影响可能通过消费、投资渠道实现。具体而言,政府债务对居民消费、城镇居民消费存在显著的“挤进效应”,但与农村居民消费没有表现出明显关系,对私人资本投资的“挤出效应”则较为显著。 展开更多
关键词 地方债务 经济增长 消费投资 动态面板
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Spatio-temporal Dynamic Evolution and the Factors Impacting Eco-efficiency in Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle 被引量:3
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作者 LI Hongli CHEN Yunping 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2022年第6期986-998,共13页
In response to the 14th National Five-year Plan of China and to better explore new strategies for promoting regional coordinated green development, the eco-efficiency values of Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle and th... In response to the 14th National Five-year Plan of China and to better explore new strategies for promoting regional coordinated green development, the eco-efficiency values of Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle and the corresponding temporal analysis from 2004 to 2018 were assessed in this paper using the super-SBM model and Markov chain. Meanwhile, the spatial analysis of eco-efficiency was conducted by a geographically weighted regression model. Although eco-efficiency has risen at an increasing rate, the economic development of Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle was still ecologically ineffective. This means there is an urgent need to improve the efficiency of resource utilization and promote technological innovation. During the study period, the evolution of the eco-efficiency presented as a “π” shape, and was accompanied by the phenomenon of “club convergence”. There was also a strong tendency for eco-efficiency to maintain the original status quo, which indicates that it lacked sufficient momentum for improvement, so it was difficult to achieve a leapfrog transfer. Spatially, the eco-efficiency was distributed from northwest to southeast in a high-low-high manner. The spatial-temporal differences of eco-efficiency narrowed but the effect of agglomeration was relatively weak and there was a polarization trend. Further investigation suggests that the differences in the development level of urbanization, opening, technology, environmental regulation and advancement of industrial structure led to the spatial differences of eco-efficiency. Each city in the Economic Circle should make every effort to improve eco-efficiency accordingly, and thus to promote the green development of the whole region, so as to lay a foundation for driving the green and coordinated development of the central and western regions. 展开更多
关键词 super SBM model Markov chain spatial and temporal disparities geographically weighted regression
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