Aims Dead plant material(i.e.litter)is the major source of soil organic matter and thus plays a fundamental role in regulating soil carbon cycling in global forest ecosystems.The storage of litter is jointly determine...Aims Dead plant material(i.e.litter)is the major source of soil organic matter and thus plays a fundamental role in regulating soil carbon cycling in global forest ecosystems.The storage of litter is jointly determined by its production from plants and decomposition in a given environment.However,only few studies have explored the relative importance of en-vironmental(i.e.abiotic)and plant(i.e.biotic)factors in driving the spa-tial variation of litter mass.The objective of this study is to quantify the relative contributions of biotic and abiotic factors in affecting the spatial variation of aboveground litter stock in a mature subtropical forest.Methods The aboveground litter mass was sampled in 187 grids of a 20-hm forest dynamics plot in a subtropical broad-leave forest in eastern China.The contributions of environmental variables,topographical and species variables on litter stocks were quantified by the boosted regression tree analysis.Important Findings The mean aboveground litter stock was 367.5 g m^(−2) in the Tiantong dynamics forest plot across all the 187 grids.The litter stock ranged from 109.2 to 831.3 g m^(−2) and showed a large spatial variation with the coefficient of variance as 40.8%.The boosted regression tree analysis showed that slope elevation and soil moisture were the most influential variables on the spatial variation of litter stock.The relatively influence of abiotic factors(environmental and topographical factors)was 71.4%,which is larger than biotic factors(28.6%).Overall,these findings sug-gest that abiotic factors play a more important role than plants in driving the spatial variation of aboveground litter stock in the subtropical forest.Given that the global carbon-cycle models have been aiming to refine from the hundred kilometers to sub-kilometer scale,this study highlights the urgency of a better understanding of the spatial variation of litter stock on the fine scale.展开更多
Background:An increasing number of ecological processes have been incorporated into Earth system models.However,model evaluations usually lag behind the fast development of models,leading to a pervasive simulation unc...Background:An increasing number of ecological processes have been incorporated into Earth system models.However,model evaluations usually lag behind the fast development of models,leading to a pervasive simulation uncertainty in key ecological processes,especially the terrestrial carbon(C)cycle.Traceability analysis provides a theoretical basis for tracking and quantifying the structural uncertainty of simulated C storage in models.Thus,a new tool of model evaluation based on the traceability analysis is urgently needed to efficiently diagnose the sources of inter-model variations on the terrestrial C cycle in Earth system models.Methods:A new cloud-based model evaluation platform,i.e.,the online traceability analysis system for model evaluation(TraceME v1.0),was established.The TraceME was applied to analyze the uncertainties of seven models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6).Results:The TraceME can effectively diagnose the key sources of different land C dynamics among CMIIP6 models.For example,the analyses based on TraceME showed that the estimation of global land C storage varied about 2.4 folds across the seven CMIP6 models.Among all models,IPSL-CM6A-LR simulated the lowest land C storage,which mainly resulted from its shortest baseline C residence time.Over the historical period of 1850–2014,gross primary productivity and baseline C residence time were the major uncertainty contributors to the inter-model variation in ecosystem C storage in most land grid cells.Conclusion:TraceME can facilitate model evaluation by identifying sources of model uncertainty and provides a new tool for the next generation of model evaluation.展开更多
Background:Large uncertainty in modeling land carbon(C)uptake heavily impedes the accurate prediction of the global C budget.Identifying the uncertainty sources among models is crucial for model improvement yet has be...Background:Large uncertainty in modeling land carbon(C)uptake heavily impedes the accurate prediction of the global C budget.Identifying the uncertainty sources among models is crucial for model improvement yet has been difficult due to multiple feedbacks within Earth System Models(ESMs).Here we present a Matrix-based Ensemble Model Inter-comparison Platform(MEMIP)under a unified model traceability framework to evaluate multiple soil organic carbon(SOC)models.Using the MEMIP,we analyzed how the vertically resolved soil biogeochemistry structure influences SOC prediction in two soil organic matter(SOM)models.By comparing the model outputs from the C-only and CN modes,the SOC differences contributed by individual processes and N feedback between vegetation and soil were explicitly disentangled.Results:Results showed that the multi-layer models with a vertically resolved structure predicted significantly higher SOC than the single layer models over the historical simulation(1900–2000).The SOC difference between the multi-layer models was remarkably higher than between the single-layer models.Traceability analysis indicated that over 80%of the SOC increase in the multi-layer models was contributed by the incorporation of depth-related processes,while SOC differences were similarly contributed by the processes and N feedback between models with the same soil depth representation.Conclusions:The output suggested that feedback is a non-negligible contributor to the inter-model difference of SOC prediction,especially between models with similar process representation.Further analysis with TRENDY v7 and more extensive MEMIP outputs illustrated the potential important role of multi-layer structure to enlarge the current ensemble spread and the necessity of more detail model decomposition to fully disentangle inter-model differences.We stressed the importance of analyzing ensemble outputs from the fundamental model structures,and holding a holistic view in understanding the ensemble uncertainty.展开更多
Partitioning of evapotranspiration(ET)into biological component transpiration(T)and non-biological component evaporation(E)is crucial in understanding the impact of environmental change on ecosystems and water resourc...Partitioning of evapotranspiration(ET)into biological component transpiration(T)and non-biological component evaporation(E)is crucial in understanding the impact of environmental change on ecosystems and water resources.However,direct measurement of transpiration is still challenging.In this paper,an optimality-based ecohydrological model named Vegetation Optimality Model(VOM)is applied for ET partitioning.The results show that VOM model can reasonably simulate ET and ET components in a semiarid shrubland.Overall,the ratio of transpiration to evapotranspiration is 49%for the whole period.Evaporation and plant transpiration mainly occur in monsoon following the precipitation events.Evaporation responds immediately to precipitation events,while transpiration shows a lagged response of several days to those events.Different years demonstrate different patterns of T/ET ratio dynamic in monsoon.Some of the years show a low T/ET ratio at the beginning of monsoon and slowly increased T/ET ratio.Other years show a high level of T/ET ratio for the whole monsoon.We find out that spring precipitation,especially the size of the precipitation,has a significant influence on the T/ET ratio in monsoon.展开更多
Soil microbial community's responses to climate warming alter the global carbon cycle.In temperate ecosystems,soil microbial communities function along seasonal cycles.However,little is known about how the respons...Soil microbial community's responses to climate warming alter the global carbon cycle.In temperate ecosystems,soil microbial communities function along seasonal cycles.However,little is known about how the responses of soil microbial communities to warming vary when the season changes.In this study,we investigated the seasonal dynamics of soil bacterial community under experimental warming in a temperate tall‐grass prairie ecosystem.Our results showed that warming significantly(p=0.001)shifted community structure,such that the differences of microbial communities between warming and control plots increased nonlinearly(R^(2)=0.578,p=0.021)from spring to winter.Also,warming significantly(p<0.050)increased microbial network complexity and robustness,especially during the colder seasons,despite large variations in network size and complexity in different seasons.In addition,the relative importance of stochastic processes in shaping the microbial community decreased by warming in fall and winter but not in spring and summer.Our study indicates that climate warming restructures the seasonal dynamics of soil microbial community in a temperate ecosystem.Such seasonality of microbial responses to warming may enlarge over time and could have significant impacts on the terrestrial carbon cycle.展开更多
Background:Countries have long been making efforts by reducing greenhouse-gas emissions to mitigate climate change.In the agreements of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,involved countries have...Background:Countries have long been making efforts by reducing greenhouse-gas emissions to mitigate climate change.In the agreements of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,involved countries have committed to reduction targets.However,carbon(C)sink and its involving processes by natural ecosystems remain difficult to quantify.Methods:Using a transient traceability framework,we estimated country-level land C sink and its causing components by 2050 simulated by 12 Earth System Models involved in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5)under RCP8.5.Results:The top 20 countries with highest C sink have the potential to sequester 62 Pg C in total,among which,Russia,Canada,USA,China,and Brazil sequester the most.This C sink consists of four components:productiondriven change,turnover-driven change,change in instantaneous C storage potential,and interaction between production-driven change and turnover-driven change.The four components account for 49.5%,28.1%,14.5%,and 7.9%of the land C sink,respectively.Conclusion:The model-based estimates highlight that land C sink potentially offsets a substantial proportion of greenhouse-gas emissions,especially for countries where net primary production(NPP)likely increases substantially and inherent residence time elongates.展开更多
Carbon-nitrogen coupling is a fundamental principle in ecosystem ecology.However,how the coupling responds to global change has not yet been examined.Through a comprehensive and systematic literature review,we assesse...Carbon-nitrogen coupling is a fundamental principle in ecosystem ecology.However,how the coupling responds to global change has not yet been examined.Through a comprehensive and systematic literature review,we assessed how the dynamics of carbon processes change with increasing nitrogen input and how nitrogen processes change with increasing carbon input under global change.Our review shows that nitrogen input to the ecosystem mostly stimulates plant primary productivity but inconsistently decreases microbial activities or increases soil carbon sequestration,with nitrogen leaching and nitrogenous gas emission rapidly increasing.Nitrogen fixation increases and nitrogen leaching decreases to improve soil nitrogen availability and support plant growth and ecosystem carbon sequestration under elevated CO_(2)and temperature or along ecosystem succession.We conclude that soil nitrogen cycle processes continually adjust to change in response to either overload under nitrogen addition or deficiency under CO_(2)enrichment and ecosystem succession to couple with carbon cycling.Indeed,processes of both carbon and nitrogen cycles continually adjust under global change,leading to dynamic coupling in carbon and nitrogen cycles.The dynamic coupling framework reconciles previous debates on the“uncoupling”or“decoupling”of ecosystem carbon and nitrogen cycles under global change.Ecosystem models failing to simulate these dynamic adjustments cannot simulate carbonnitrogen coupling nor predict ecosystem carbon sequestration well.展开更多
基金National Natural Science Foundation(31722009,41630528)Fok Ying-Tong Education Foundation for Young Teachers in the Higher Education Institutions of China(161016)the National 1000 Young Talents Program of China.
文摘Aims Dead plant material(i.e.litter)is the major source of soil organic matter and thus plays a fundamental role in regulating soil carbon cycling in global forest ecosystems.The storage of litter is jointly determined by its production from plants and decomposition in a given environment.However,only few studies have explored the relative importance of en-vironmental(i.e.abiotic)and plant(i.e.biotic)factors in driving the spa-tial variation of litter mass.The objective of this study is to quantify the relative contributions of biotic and abiotic factors in affecting the spatial variation of aboveground litter stock in a mature subtropical forest.Methods The aboveground litter mass was sampled in 187 grids of a 20-hm forest dynamics plot in a subtropical broad-leave forest in eastern China.The contributions of environmental variables,topographical and species variables on litter stocks were quantified by the boosted regression tree analysis.Important Findings The mean aboveground litter stock was 367.5 g m^(−2) in the Tiantong dynamics forest plot across all the 187 grids.The litter stock ranged from 109.2 to 831.3 g m^(−2) and showed a large spatial variation with the coefficient of variance as 40.8%.The boosted regression tree analysis showed that slope elevation and soil moisture were the most influential variables on the spatial variation of litter stock.The relatively influence of abiotic factors(environmental and topographical factors)was 71.4%,which is larger than biotic factors(28.6%).Overall,these findings sug-gest that abiotic factors play a more important role than plants in driving the spatial variation of aboveground litter stock in the subtropical forest.Given that the global carbon-cycle models have been aiming to refine from the hundred kilometers to sub-kilometer scale,this study highlights the urgency of a better understanding of the spatial variation of litter stock on the fine scale.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(2017YFA0604600)National Natural Science Foundation of China(31722009).
文摘Background:An increasing number of ecological processes have been incorporated into Earth system models.However,model evaluations usually lag behind the fast development of models,leading to a pervasive simulation uncertainty in key ecological processes,especially the terrestrial carbon(C)cycle.Traceability analysis provides a theoretical basis for tracking and quantifying the structural uncertainty of simulated C storage in models.Thus,a new tool of model evaluation based on the traceability analysis is urgently needed to efficiently diagnose the sources of inter-model variations on the terrestrial C cycle in Earth system models.Methods:A new cloud-based model evaluation platform,i.e.,the online traceability analysis system for model evaluation(TraceME v1.0),was established.The TraceME was applied to analyze the uncertainties of seven models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6).Results:The TraceME can effectively diagnose the key sources of different land C dynamics among CMIIP6 models.For example,the analyses based on TraceME showed that the estimation of global land C storage varied about 2.4 folds across the seven CMIP6 models.Among all models,IPSL-CM6A-LR simulated the lowest land C storage,which mainly resulted from its shortest baseline C residence time.Over the historical period of 1850–2014,gross primary productivity and baseline C residence time were the major uncertainty contributors to the inter-model variation in ecosystem C storage in most land grid cells.Conclusion:TraceME can facilitate model evaluation by identifying sources of model uncertainty and provides a new tool for the next generation of model evaluation.
基金This study is supported by the funding from the National Key Research and Development Program of China under grants 2017YFA0604600YC was supported by National Youth Science Fund of China(41701227).DL is supported by the National Center for Atmospheric Research,which is a major facility sponsored by the National Science Foundation(NSF)under Cooperative Agreement 1852977.DL’s computing and data storage resources,including the Cheyenne supercomputer(https://doi.org/10.5065/D6RX99HX),were provided by the Computational and Information Systems Laboratory(CISL)at NCAR.DSG receives support from the ANR CLAND Convergence Institute.
文摘Background:Large uncertainty in modeling land carbon(C)uptake heavily impedes the accurate prediction of the global C budget.Identifying the uncertainty sources among models is crucial for model improvement yet has been difficult due to multiple feedbacks within Earth System Models(ESMs).Here we present a Matrix-based Ensemble Model Inter-comparison Platform(MEMIP)under a unified model traceability framework to evaluate multiple soil organic carbon(SOC)models.Using the MEMIP,we analyzed how the vertically resolved soil biogeochemistry structure influences SOC prediction in two soil organic matter(SOM)models.By comparing the model outputs from the C-only and CN modes,the SOC differences contributed by individual processes and N feedback between vegetation and soil were explicitly disentangled.Results:Results showed that the multi-layer models with a vertically resolved structure predicted significantly higher SOC than the single layer models over the historical simulation(1900–2000).The SOC difference between the multi-layer models was remarkably higher than between the single-layer models.Traceability analysis indicated that over 80%of the SOC increase in the multi-layer models was contributed by the incorporation of depth-related processes,while SOC differences were similarly contributed by the processes and N feedback between models with the same soil depth representation.Conclusions:The output suggested that feedback is a non-negligible contributor to the inter-model difference of SOC prediction,especially between models with similar process representation.Further analysis with TRENDY v7 and more extensive MEMIP outputs illustrated the potential important role of multi-layer structure to enlarge the current ensemble spread and the necessity of more detail model decomposition to fully disentangle inter-model differences.We stressed the importance of analyzing ensemble outputs from the fundamental model structures,and holding a holistic view in understanding the ensemble uncertainty.
基金This work is supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China[grant number 2017YFC050540503]National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 41301028,41571413,41701520 and 41471368]Lajiao Chen(201704910065)would like to acknowledge the fellowship from the China Scholarship Council(CSC).
文摘Partitioning of evapotranspiration(ET)into biological component transpiration(T)and non-biological component evaporation(E)is crucial in understanding the impact of environmental change on ecosystems and water resources.However,direct measurement of transpiration is still challenging.In this paper,an optimality-based ecohydrological model named Vegetation Optimality Model(VOM)is applied for ET partitioning.The results show that VOM model can reasonably simulate ET and ET components in a semiarid shrubland.Overall,the ratio of transpiration to evapotranspiration is 49%for the whole period.Evaporation and plant transpiration mainly occur in monsoon following the precipitation events.Evaporation responds immediately to precipitation events,while transpiration shows a lagged response of several days to those events.Different years demonstrate different patterns of T/ET ratio dynamic in monsoon.Some of the years show a low T/ET ratio at the beginning of monsoon and slowly increased T/ET ratio.Other years show a high level of T/ET ratio for the whole monsoon.We find out that spring precipitation,especially the size of the precipitation,has a significant influence on the T/ET ratio in monsoon.
文摘Soil microbial community's responses to climate warming alter the global carbon cycle.In temperate ecosystems,soil microbial communities function along seasonal cycles.However,little is known about how the responses of soil microbial communities to warming vary when the season changes.In this study,we investigated the seasonal dynamics of soil bacterial community under experimental warming in a temperate tall‐grass prairie ecosystem.Our results showed that warming significantly(p=0.001)shifted community structure,such that the differences of microbial communities between warming and control plots increased nonlinearly(R^(2)=0.578,p=0.021)from spring to winter.Also,warming significantly(p<0.050)increased microbial network complexity and robustness,especially during the colder seasons,despite large variations in network size and complexity in different seasons.In addition,the relative importance of stochastic processes in shaping the microbial community decreased by warming in fall and winter but not in spring and summer.Our study indicates that climate warming restructures the seasonal dynamics of soil microbial community in a temperate ecosystem.Such seasonality of microbial responses to warming may enlarge over time and could have significant impacts on the terrestrial carbon cycle.
基金supported by the National Science Foundation Grants(DEB,1655499,2017884)US Department of Energy(DE-SC0020227)the subcontracts 4000158404 and 4000161830 from Oak Ridge National Laboratory(ORNL)to the Northern Arizona University。
文摘Background:Countries have long been making efforts by reducing greenhouse-gas emissions to mitigate climate change.In the agreements of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,involved countries have committed to reduction targets.However,carbon(C)sink and its involving processes by natural ecosystems remain difficult to quantify.Methods:Using a transient traceability framework,we estimated country-level land C sink and its causing components by 2050 simulated by 12 Earth System Models involved in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5)under RCP8.5.Results:The top 20 countries with highest C sink have the potential to sequester 62 Pg C in total,among which,Russia,Canada,USA,China,and Brazil sequester the most.This C sink consists of four components:productiondriven change,turnover-driven change,change in instantaneous C storage potential,and interaction between production-driven change and turnover-driven change.The four components account for 49.5%,28.1%,14.5%,and 7.9%of the land C sink,respectively.Conclusion:The model-based estimates highlight that land C sink potentially offsets a substantial proportion of greenhouse-gas emissions,especially for countries where net primary production(NPP)likely increases substantially and inherent residence time elongates.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(31988102)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFF0802102)。
文摘Carbon-nitrogen coupling is a fundamental principle in ecosystem ecology.However,how the coupling responds to global change has not yet been examined.Through a comprehensive and systematic literature review,we assessed how the dynamics of carbon processes change with increasing nitrogen input and how nitrogen processes change with increasing carbon input under global change.Our review shows that nitrogen input to the ecosystem mostly stimulates plant primary productivity but inconsistently decreases microbial activities or increases soil carbon sequestration,with nitrogen leaching and nitrogenous gas emission rapidly increasing.Nitrogen fixation increases and nitrogen leaching decreases to improve soil nitrogen availability and support plant growth and ecosystem carbon sequestration under elevated CO_(2)and temperature or along ecosystem succession.We conclude that soil nitrogen cycle processes continually adjust to change in response to either overload under nitrogen addition or deficiency under CO_(2)enrichment and ecosystem succession to couple with carbon cycling.Indeed,processes of both carbon and nitrogen cycles continually adjust under global change,leading to dynamic coupling in carbon and nitrogen cycles.The dynamic coupling framework reconciles previous debates on the“uncoupling”or“decoupling”of ecosystem carbon and nitrogen cycles under global change.Ecosystem models failing to simulate these dynamic adjustments cannot simulate carbonnitrogen coupling nor predict ecosystem carbon sequestration well.
基金supported by the Excellent Youth Scholars Program and the Special Project on Hi-Tech Innovation Capacity(KJCX20210416)from Beijing Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences(BAAFS)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFA0604604).
基金This study was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(31625006,31988102)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA23080302)the International Collaboration Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences(131A11KYSB20180010).