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The "Middle Income Trap" and China's Path to Development: International Experiences and Lessons
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作者 郑秉文 《China Economist》 2011年第3期16-27,共12页
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Population ageing and the impacts of the universal two-child policy on China’s socio-economy
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作者 Bingwen Zheng 《Economic and Political Studies》 2016年第4期434-453,共20页
The two-child policy was officially proclaimed in the Guideline of the 13th Five-Year Plan and approved in March 2016.This article provides a detailed analysis of the Chinese demographic structure characterised by age... The two-child policy was officially proclaimed in the Guideline of the 13th Five-Year Plan and approved in March 2016.This article provides a detailed analysis of the Chinese demographic structure characterised by ageing with sub-replacement fertility.It argues that the universal two-child policy is timely and necessary for the New Normal economy.The policy has significance in relieving socio-economic pressure and promoting economic growth,for which it is not only a necessary premise but also a sufficient condition.Having reviewed the evolution of the demographic transition theory,this research undertakes a comparative analysis of different stages of demographic transition in different regions across the world.It further investigates the three stages of successful demographic transition in China.The universally adopted two-child policy,as it meets the requirements of demographic transition,is also inevitable for socio-economic development. 展开更多
关键词 Population ageing ageing with sub-replacement fertility one-child policy demographic transition universal two-child policy
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