The Ukraine crisis and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict(referred to as the Two Conflicts hereinafter)have profoundly changed the geopolitical and economic landscape of the EU.Internal and external challenges are becom...The Ukraine crisis and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict(referred to as the Two Conflicts hereinafter)have profoundly changed the geopolitical and economic landscape of the EU.Internal and external challenges are becoming increasingly severe:the economy is stagnating;social disparity,political polarization and fragmentation are worsening;the security environment is deteriorating.Under various pressures,the EU has actively revised its internal and external policies,leading to increased downsides for China-EU relations.Nevertheless,China-EU relations still have robust internal dynamics and bright prospects for development.展开更多
The first mid-term election of the U. S. in the new century took place on November 5, 2002. One third of the senators from the 107th Congress (34 out of 100), all representatives (435), 36 state governors, and numerou...The first mid-term election of the U. S. in the new century took place on November 5, 2002. One third of the senators from the 107th Congress (34 out of 100), all representatives (435), 36 state governors, and numerous local officials and legislators were to be elected or reelected. The resounding victory of the GOP in the congressional elections and the fact that the Democrats only got three more.展开更多
In 2022,the United States stepped up its sanctions on Russia.Most notably,it restricted the flow of the Russian Central Bank's foreign exchange(forex)assets,using financial administrative power as a source of stra...In 2022,the United States stepped up its sanctions on Russia.Most notably,it restricted the flow of the Russian Central Bank's foreign exchange(forex)assets,using financial administrative power as a source of strategic leverage.This move should have reduced the appeal of US dollar assets but in reality has not accelerated as expected the decline of the greenback as a store of value.The US dollar's share of global forex reserves increased instead of decreased during 2022 and 2023.Despite the rise of economic costs caused by tightened US financial sanctions,countries that recognize the geopolitical role of the United States have further accepted the dollar's international status;their continued willingness to live with the dollar's“security premium”has given a fillip to the US dollar in the short term,boosting its appeal as a reserve currency.Meanwhile,de-dollarization of forex reserves has yet to reach a sufficient scale,thus falling short of significantly challenging the dollar's reign.From a longer-term perspective,as economic and security conditions shift,countries that accept the dollar's international role or seek de-dollarization may change their choices.As a result,four possible scenarios may arise:(i)the preeminence of the US dollar remains unthreatened;(ii)the international monetary system splits into blocs;(iii)the international monetary system fragments;and(iv)the dollar loses its throne.The author believes that the last scenario is the most likely outcome.展开更多
Since 2018,the US government has adopted a range of restrictive measures on China-US science and technology exchange,as it strives for a decoupling strategy against China.This strategy has brought about historic chang...Since 2018,the US government has adopted a range of restrictive measures on China-US science and technology exchange,as it strives for a decoupling strategy against China.This strategy has brought about historic change in China-US science and technology relations.The US government has set out to obstruct the free flow of technology,data,capital,markets,and talents between China and the United States,thereby changing the basic rationale of China-US science and technology cooperation.The US has multiple underlying motivations for implementing this strategy including recognizing the security threats posed by China’s cutting-edge technology development,treating China as a competitor in global science and technology diplomacy,prompting the backflow of the technological industrial chain,and the strengthened industrial competition between the two countries.Decoupling is one of the competition strategies of the United States.It is aimed at ensuring a favorable position for their national innovation systems,particularly in China-US competition.However,the limitations of the decoupling strategy may not allow the US to achieve what it desires.These limitations also provide space for the two countries to ease their competitive relationship.展开更多
As major country competition is becoming ever more intense,data has become a key strategic resource,making rules of cross-border data flow going beyond the business scope in a traditional sense and becomin...As major country competition is becoming ever more intense,data has become a key strategic resource,making rules of cross-border data flow going beyond the business scope in a traditional sense and becoming a strategic issue concerning national development and security.Relevant parties compete against each other in three major areas of the collection of cross-border law enforcement data,cross-border flow of corporate data.展开更多
China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) hosted an international symposium on China and the Changing World on September 4-5, 2010 to commemorate its 30th anniversary. Four
As extensive as the first reform launched in 1978, China's second reform also depends on giant strides in relations with the U.S.. For the New Model of bilateral ties that is antecedent for the full reform to take...As extensive as the first reform launched in 1978, China's second reform also depends on giant strides in relations with the U.S.. For the New Model of bilateral ties that is antecedent for the full reform to take hold, progress is needed in four key fields blocking the way. Navigating this challenge will entail originality in thinking, framework and trajectory. The proposed "new model of major-country relations" represents China's official commitment to go the distance to reorient its U.S. bond, but it awaits joint endeavor in building "the three communities of interests, security and responsibility" of Chimerica.展开更多
As China and Japan are the two biggest powers in East Asia and the second and third largest economies in the world,so the stability of their bilateral relations is vital for maintaining regional and world peace,as wel...As China and Japan are the two biggest powers in East Asia and the second and third largest economies in the world,so the stability of their bilateral relations is vital for maintaining regional and world peace,as well as the wellbeing of both peoples.However,over the past 40-plus years since the normalization of Sino-Japanese diplomatic relations。展开更多
The trilateral seminar of'China-Japan-ROK Relations in PostBeijing Olympics'—organized by China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations(CICIR),the Asahi Shimbun Asia Network(AAN) of Japan and the H...The trilateral seminar of'China-Japan-ROK Relations in PostBeijing Olympics'—organized by China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations(CICIR),the Asahi Shimbun Asia Network(AAN) of Japan and the Hwajeong Peace Foundation of Northeast Asia Daily(the Dibg-A Ilbo)in South Korea—opened in Beijing on October 11th,2008.展开更多
In order to find indications for future bilateral relations, it is worth reviewing the development of China-US economic and trade relations in recent history. Generally speaking, the nine years between 2007 and 2015 s...In order to find indications for future bilateral relations, it is worth reviewing the development of China-US economic and trade relations in recent history. Generally speaking, the nine years between 2007 and 2015 saw non-stop progress in China and US trade and economic ties. The China-US interdependent and complementary economic and trade connections ensure that bilateral relations are constantly developing and merging following their interdependent paths;the global challenges, such as the financial crisis and recent extreme weather events, have allowed China and the US to be in the same boat,weathering these different forms of turbulence. Decisions on important domestic policies and disputes can now be discussed earlier and effectively following on from the construction of multi-dimensional crisis management mechanisms. But undeniably there are unsettled and conflicting points in their relations, such as the fact that the US strategically excludes China from its free trade agenda, not willing to accept many everyday items manufactured by China. This is a major obstacle preventing their relationships deepening. History tells us, in future, if both sides could have a bigger vision, relations would better develop, for the new type of major power relations and the subsequent road would be less rocky and bring more benefits for the peoples of both countries.展开更多
When US President Donald Trump first came to power, he highly praised Russian President Vladimir Putin and expressed his willingness to improve the bilateral relations, which had rapidly deteriorated in the wake of th...When US President Donald Trump first came to power, he highly praised Russian President Vladimir Putin and expressed his willingness to improve the bilateral relations, which had rapidly deteriorated in the wake of the Ukraine crisis and Russia’s annexation of Crimea. Senior Russian officials also had high expectations for breaking the deadlock with the US. However, the reality over the past year and more shows that the US-Russia relationship has not only failed to achieve “restart,” but almost entered a “system crash.”展开更多
HINESE President Xi Jinping paid a state visit from November 17 to 23, 2o16, to three Latin American states: Ecuador, Peru, and Chile. He also attended the24th APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Lima, Peru. The trip ...HINESE President Xi Jinping paid a state visit from November 17 to 23, 2o16, to three Latin American states: Ecuador, Peru, and Chile. He also attended the24th APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Lima, Peru. The trip was regarded as a milestone in the history of China-Latin America relations, one that opened a new era of bilateral ties.展开更多
With the Brexit coming into effect in January 2020,in-depth analysis and research need to be made on what course the EU would follow,how it would readjust its internal and external policies and what implications this ...With the Brexit coming into effect in January 2020,in-depth analysis and research need to be made on what course the EU would follow,how it would readjust its internal and external policies and what implications this readjustment will exert to the future development of China-EU relations.Brexit Will Profoundly Change EU After Brexit,the EU’s international vision may gradually narrow and its openness will gradually decline.The EU will inevitably undergo significant changes in the post-Brexit era.展开更多
Aperiod of time between the golden autumn of 1997 and the flowery spring of1998 can be deemed as a "season of diplomacy" for the three Pacific-rimcountries of China, America and Japan. Japanese Prime Ministe...Aperiod of time between the golden autumn of 1997 and the flowery spring of1998 can be deemed as a "season of diplomacy" for the three Pacific-rimcountries of China, America and Japan. Japanese Prime Minister RyutaroHashimoto’s visit to China in September 1997 and that to be made by PresidentJiang Zemin next year will go down as significant events in the diplomatic history.展开更多
The COVID-19 pandemic has both posed challenges and brought about opportunities for Sino-European relations.While the ongoing fight against the pandemic has highlighted the importance of cooperation for both China and...The COVID-19 pandemic has both posed challenges and brought about opportunities for Sino-European relations.While the ongoing fight against the pandemic has highlighted the importance of cooperation for both China and the EU,the two major economies are faced with the uncertainties in the recovery of industrial chain and supply chain.Meanwhile,the post-pandemic scenario will further cast new impacts on the China-European relations.展开更多
The U.S. is the largest country outside of the region to involve itself in the South China Sea dispute. U.S. policy on this issue is guided by the principle of containing China's rise and this will continue to be ...The U.S. is the largest country outside of the region to involve itself in the South China Sea dispute. U.S. policy on this issue is guided by the principle of containing China's rise and this will continue to be the case in the near future. Meanwhile, the U.S. has proposed a new multi-lateral security mechanism, incorporating itself, in the South China Sea. This article will put forward some reflections and suggestions on the above issues.展开更多
In 2008, the US subprime mortgage crisis ignited the international financial crisis which caused a big shock, leading to the great recession and triggering a series of economic, social, and political crises that had a...In 2008, the US subprime mortgage crisis ignited the international financial crisis which caused a big shock, leading to the great recession and triggering a series of economic, social, and political crises that had a profound impact on the world economy and international politics. Under the pressure of the big crisis, the countries concerned have strengthened financial supervision, and the international community is committed to global governance. However, the corresponding measures are just stirring the hot soup to stop it from boiling. As the main culprit of the financial monopoly is capital, its strength and power have been strengthened instead of being weakened. Greed and speculation have been continuously strengthened instead of being contained. In this way, it is very likely that the measures to solve the old crisis will be the very cause of a new crisis.展开更多
Since the 18th National Congress of the CPC,the new central leading group with Xi Jinping as the core leader has made thoughtful plans,made great efforts to enhance China’s international status and influence with the...Since the 18th National Congress of the CPC,the new central leading group with Xi Jinping as the core leader has made thoughtful plans,made great efforts to enhance China’s international status and influence with the expansion of the new realm and horizon of China’s diplomacy,with the promotion of national interests of China and the commencement of positive interaction between China and the rest of the world.展开更多
Over the past two years since his return to power,Abe has been implementing a hard-line foreign strategy,and openly'challenging'and'desperately struggling with'China.Specifically,the Abe government has...Over the past two years since his return to power,Abe has been implementing a hard-line foreign strategy,and openly'challenging'and'desperately struggling with'China.Specifically,the Abe government has been forcefully pursuing a strategy of'active pacifism',such as'revising the constitution',lifting the ban on collective defense and modifying the'three principles'on arms export,implementing a展开更多
文摘The Ukraine crisis and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict(referred to as the Two Conflicts hereinafter)have profoundly changed the geopolitical and economic landscape of the EU.Internal and external challenges are becoming increasingly severe:the economy is stagnating;social disparity,political polarization and fragmentation are worsening;the security environment is deteriorating.Under various pressures,the EU has actively revised its internal and external policies,leading to increased downsides for China-EU relations.Nevertheless,China-EU relations still have robust internal dynamics and bright prospects for development.
文摘The first mid-term election of the U. S. in the new century took place on November 5, 2002. One third of the senators from the 107th Congress (34 out of 100), all representatives (435), 36 state governors, and numerous local officials and legislators were to be elected or reelected. The resounding victory of the GOP in the congressional elections and the fact that the Democrats only got three more.
文摘In 2022,the United States stepped up its sanctions on Russia.Most notably,it restricted the flow of the Russian Central Bank's foreign exchange(forex)assets,using financial administrative power as a source of strategic leverage.This move should have reduced the appeal of US dollar assets but in reality has not accelerated as expected the decline of the greenback as a store of value.The US dollar's share of global forex reserves increased instead of decreased during 2022 and 2023.Despite the rise of economic costs caused by tightened US financial sanctions,countries that recognize the geopolitical role of the United States have further accepted the dollar's international status;their continued willingness to live with the dollar's“security premium”has given a fillip to the US dollar in the short term,boosting its appeal as a reserve currency.Meanwhile,de-dollarization of forex reserves has yet to reach a sufficient scale,thus falling short of significantly challenging the dollar's reign.From a longer-term perspective,as economic and security conditions shift,countries that accept the dollar's international role or seek de-dollarization may change their choices.As a result,four possible scenarios may arise:(i)the preeminence of the US dollar remains unthreatened;(ii)the international monetary system splits into blocs;(iii)the international monetary system fragments;and(iv)the dollar loses its throne.The author believes that the last scenario is the most likely outcome.
文摘Since 2018,the US government has adopted a range of restrictive measures on China-US science and technology exchange,as it strives for a decoupling strategy against China.This strategy has brought about historic change in China-US science and technology relations.The US government has set out to obstruct the free flow of technology,data,capital,markets,and talents between China and the United States,thereby changing the basic rationale of China-US science and technology cooperation.The US has multiple underlying motivations for implementing this strategy including recognizing the security threats posed by China’s cutting-edge technology development,treating China as a competitor in global science and technology diplomacy,prompting the backflow of the technological industrial chain,and the strengthened industrial competition between the two countries.Decoupling is one of the competition strategies of the United States.It is aimed at ensuring a favorable position for their national innovation systems,particularly in China-US competition.However,the limitations of the decoupling strategy may not allow the US to achieve what it desires.These limitations also provide space for the two countries to ease their competitive relationship.
文摘As major country competition is becoming ever more intense,data has become a key strategic resource,making rules of cross-border data flow going beyond the business scope in a traditional sense and becoming a strategic issue concerning national development and security.Relevant parties compete against each other in three major areas of the collection of cross-border law enforcement data,cross-border flow of corporate data.
文摘China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) hosted an international symposium on China and the Changing World on September 4-5, 2010 to commemorate its 30th anniversary. Four
文摘As extensive as the first reform launched in 1978, China's second reform also depends on giant strides in relations with the U.S.. For the New Model of bilateral ties that is antecedent for the full reform to take hold, progress is needed in four key fields blocking the way. Navigating this challenge will entail originality in thinking, framework and trajectory. The proposed "new model of major-country relations" represents China's official commitment to go the distance to reorient its U.S. bond, but it awaits joint endeavor in building "the three communities of interests, security and responsibility" of Chimerica.
文摘As China and Japan are the two biggest powers in East Asia and the second and third largest economies in the world,so the stability of their bilateral relations is vital for maintaining regional and world peace,as well as the wellbeing of both peoples.However,over the past 40-plus years since the normalization of Sino-Japanese diplomatic relations。
文摘The trilateral seminar of'China-Japan-ROK Relations in PostBeijing Olympics'—organized by China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations(CICIR),the Asahi Shimbun Asia Network(AAN) of Japan and the Hwajeong Peace Foundation of Northeast Asia Daily(the Dibg-A Ilbo)in South Korea—opened in Beijing on October 11th,2008.
文摘In order to find indications for future bilateral relations, it is worth reviewing the development of China-US economic and trade relations in recent history. Generally speaking, the nine years between 2007 and 2015 saw non-stop progress in China and US trade and economic ties. The China-US interdependent and complementary economic and trade connections ensure that bilateral relations are constantly developing and merging following their interdependent paths;the global challenges, such as the financial crisis and recent extreme weather events, have allowed China and the US to be in the same boat,weathering these different forms of turbulence. Decisions on important domestic policies and disputes can now be discussed earlier and effectively following on from the construction of multi-dimensional crisis management mechanisms. But undeniably there are unsettled and conflicting points in their relations, such as the fact that the US strategically excludes China from its free trade agenda, not willing to accept many everyday items manufactured by China. This is a major obstacle preventing their relationships deepening. History tells us, in future, if both sides could have a bigger vision, relations would better develop, for the new type of major power relations and the subsequent road would be less rocky and bring more benefits for the peoples of both countries.
文摘When US President Donald Trump first came to power, he highly praised Russian President Vladimir Putin and expressed his willingness to improve the bilateral relations, which had rapidly deteriorated in the wake of the Ukraine crisis and Russia’s annexation of Crimea. Senior Russian officials also had high expectations for breaking the deadlock with the US. However, the reality over the past year and more shows that the US-Russia relationship has not only failed to achieve “restart,” but almost entered a “system crash.”
文摘HINESE President Xi Jinping paid a state visit from November 17 to 23, 2o16, to three Latin American states: Ecuador, Peru, and Chile. He also attended the24th APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Lima, Peru. The trip was regarded as a milestone in the history of China-Latin America relations, one that opened a new era of bilateral ties.
文摘With the Brexit coming into effect in January 2020,in-depth analysis and research need to be made on what course the EU would follow,how it would readjust its internal and external policies and what implications this readjustment will exert to the future development of China-EU relations.Brexit Will Profoundly Change EU After Brexit,the EU’s international vision may gradually narrow and its openness will gradually decline.The EU will inevitably undergo significant changes in the post-Brexit era.
文摘Aperiod of time between the golden autumn of 1997 and the flowery spring of1998 can be deemed as a "season of diplomacy" for the three Pacific-rimcountries of China, America and Japan. Japanese Prime Minister RyutaroHashimoto’s visit to China in September 1997 and that to be made by PresidentJiang Zemin next year will go down as significant events in the diplomatic history.
文摘The COVID-19 pandemic has both posed challenges and brought about opportunities for Sino-European relations.While the ongoing fight against the pandemic has highlighted the importance of cooperation for both China and the EU,the two major economies are faced with the uncertainties in the recovery of industrial chain and supply chain.Meanwhile,the post-pandemic scenario will further cast new impacts on the China-European relations.
文摘The U.S. is the largest country outside of the region to involve itself in the South China Sea dispute. U.S. policy on this issue is guided by the principle of containing China's rise and this will continue to be the case in the near future. Meanwhile, the U.S. has proposed a new multi-lateral security mechanism, incorporating itself, in the South China Sea. This article will put forward some reflections and suggestions on the above issues.
文摘In 2008, the US subprime mortgage crisis ignited the international financial crisis which caused a big shock, leading to the great recession and triggering a series of economic, social, and political crises that had a profound impact on the world economy and international politics. Under the pressure of the big crisis, the countries concerned have strengthened financial supervision, and the international community is committed to global governance. However, the corresponding measures are just stirring the hot soup to stop it from boiling. As the main culprit of the financial monopoly is capital, its strength and power have been strengthened instead of being weakened. Greed and speculation have been continuously strengthened instead of being contained. In this way, it is very likely that the measures to solve the old crisis will be the very cause of a new crisis.
文摘Since the 18th National Congress of the CPC,the new central leading group with Xi Jinping as the core leader has made thoughtful plans,made great efforts to enhance China’s international status and influence with the expansion of the new realm and horizon of China’s diplomacy,with the promotion of national interests of China and the commencement of positive interaction between China and the rest of the world.
文摘Over the past two years since his return to power,Abe has been implementing a hard-line foreign strategy,and openly'challenging'and'desperately struggling with'China.Specifically,the Abe government has been forcefully pursuing a strategy of'active pacifism',such as'revising the constitution',lifting the ban on collective defense and modifying the'three principles'on arms export,implementing a