期刊文献+
共找到2篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
宏观经济波动对大都市区入境旅游业的影响研究--以上海市为例
1
作者 王家庭 毛文峰 +1 位作者 倪方树 杨禄 《西部经济管理论坛》 2016年第2期51-57,共7页
本文通过建立宏观经济波动和大都市入境旅游的VAR模型,运用脉冲响应函数和方差分解,对1980—2012年宏观经济波动指标与上海市入境旅游指标进行了长期动态分析和动态交互关系的实证研究。结果表明:(1)宏观经济波动在短期内会带来上海市... 本文通过建立宏观经济波动和大都市入境旅游的VAR模型,运用脉冲响应函数和方差分解,对1980—2012年宏观经济波动指标与上海市入境旅游指标进行了长期动态分析和动态交互关系的实证研究。结果表明:(1)宏观经济波动在短期内会带来上海市入境旅游发展的显著影响,而后逐步减弱,长期趋向平稳;其中上海市入境旅游对自身冲击影响显著,说明其旅游业是一个敏感脆弱性产业,受外界不确定性因素影响较大。(2)人民生活水平的提高和我国经济发展的稳定发展态势,会吸引海外游客的到来,而汇率水平的波动在金融全球化背景下稍显复杂,但总体而言并不违背货币价值规律。(3)由于全国人均GDP、物价消费指数、利率水平、汇率水平及上海市入境旅游人数等变量的经济系统是稳定的,因此我国经济能够平稳有序发展,上海市入境旅游的经济效应更加明显。 展开更多
关键词 宏观经济波动 入境旅游 VAR模型 上海市
下载PDF
Credit Card Fraud Detection Using Weighted Support Vector Machine 被引量:3
2
作者 Dongfang Zhang Basu Bhandari Dennis Black 《Applied Mathematics》 2020年第12期1275-1291,共17页
Credit card fraudulent data is highly imbalanced, and it has presented an overwhelmingly large portion of nonfraudulent transactions and a small portion of fraudulent transactions. The measures used to judge the verac... Credit card fraudulent data is highly imbalanced, and it has presented an overwhelmingly large portion of nonfraudulent transactions and a small portion of fraudulent transactions. The measures used to judge the veracity of the detection algorithms become critical to the deployment of a model that accurately scores fraudulent transactions taking into account case imbalance, and the cost of identifying a case as genuine when, in fact, the case is a fraudulent transaction. In this paper, a new criterion to judge classification algorithms, which considers the cost of misclassification, is proposed, and several undersampling techniques are compared by this new criterion. At the same time, a weighted support vector machine (SVM) algorithm considering the financial cost of misclassification is introduced, proving to be more practical for credit card fraud detection than traditional methodologies. This weighted SVM uses transaction balances as weights for fraudulent transactions, and a uniformed weight for nonfraudulent transactions. The results show this strategy greatly improve performance of credit card fraud detection. 展开更多
关键词 Support Vector Machine Binary Classification Imbalanced Data UNDERSAMPLING Credit Card Fraud
下载PDF
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部