Impact analysis of natural disasters using interrelation of infrastructure and associated industries

Most serious natural disasters cause fatalities and injuries, and result in infrastructure damage, economic impacts, and social effects. With respect to the nature of impacts, it is important to understand the direct and indirect impacts of natural disasters on infrastructure and industries. In this paper, a holistic disaster impact analysis framework is presented to support more understanding of natural disaster events with respect to inter-relation of infrastructure and associated industries. Disaster impact mechanism and inter-relations based on critical function of industries derived from the extensive literature review and case studies. To develop the framework, service factor is chosen to measure the level of inter-relations and proper weights for each inter-relation between infrastructure and associated industries are obtained by surveying experts in the area of disaster mitigation, emergency organizations, and infrastructure management. This paper focuses on the impact analysis of hurricane disaster and the outcome can also be applied to other types of disasters.

A novel approach to emergency risk assessment using FMEA with extended MULTIMOORA method under interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy environment

Purpose-The application of the traditional failure mode and effects analysis(FMEA)technique has been widely questioned in evaluation information,risk factor weights and robustness of results.This paper develops a novel FMEA framework with extended MULTIMOORA method under interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy environment to solve these problems.Design/methodology/approach-This paper introduces innovatively interval-value Pythagorean fuzzy weighted averaging(IVPFWA)operator,Tchebycheff metric distance and interval-value Pythagorean fuzzy weighted geometric(IVPFWG)operator into the MULTIMOORA submethods to obtain the risk ranking order for emergencies.Finally,an illustrative case is provided to demonstrate the practicality and feasibility of the novel fuzzy FMEA framework.Findings-The feasibility and validity of the proposed method are verified by comparing with the existing methods.The calculation results indicate that the proposed method is more consistent with the actual situation of project and has more reference value.Practical implications-The research results can provide supporting information for risk management decisions and offer decision-making basis for formulation of the follow-up emergency control and disposal scheme,which has certain guiding significance for the practical popularization and application of risk management strategies in the infrastructure projects.Originality/value–A novel approach using FMEA with extended MULTIMOORA method is developed under IVPF environment,which considers weights of risk factors and experts.The method proposed has significantly improved the integrity of information in expert evaluation and the robustness of results.