An appropriate decarbonisation pathway is crucial to achieving carbon neutrality in China before 2060.This paper studies decarbonisation pathways for China's energy system between 2020 and 2060 using an open,provi...An appropriate decarbonisation pathway is crucial to achieving carbon neutrality in China before 2060.This paper studies decarbonisation pathways for China's energy system between 2020 and 2060 using an open,provincial,and hourly resolved,networked model within the context of multi‐period planning with myopic investment foresight.Two representative decarbonisation pathways are compared,with particular attention to the synergies of coupling the electricity and heating sectors.An early and steady path in which emissions are strongly reduced in the first decade is more cost‐effective than following a late and rapid path.Early decarbonisation in the electricity sector avoids stranded in-vestments in fossil infrastructure and preserves the carbon budget for later emissions in the difficult‐to‐decarbonise heating sector.Retrofitting the existing coal power plants by adding carbon capture facilities is cost‐effective in both decarbonisation pathways.The hourly and non‐interrupted resolution for a full weather year reveals the balancing strategies of highly renewable,sector‐coupled systems.The significant seasonal variation of heat demand dominates long‐term storage behaviours.展开更多
From a macro-energy system perspective,an energy storage is valuable if it contributes to meeting system objectives,including increasing economic value,reliability and sustainability.In most energy systems models,reli...From a macro-energy system perspective,an energy storage is valuable if it contributes to meeting system objectives,including increasing economic value,reliability and sustainability.In most energy systems models,reliability and sustainability are forced by constraints,and if energy demand is exogenous,this leaves cost as the main metric for economic value.Traditional ways to improve storage technologies are to reduce their costs;however,the cheapest energy storage is not always the most valuable in energy systems.Modern techno-economical evaluation methods try to address the cost and value situation but do not judge the competitiveness of multiple technologies simultaneously.This paper introduces the‘market potential method’as a new complementary valuation method guiding innovation of multiple energy storage.The market potential method derives the value of technologies by examining common deployment signals from energy system model outputs in a structured way.We apply and compare this method to cost evaluation approaches in a renewables-based European power system model,covering diverse energy storage technologies.We find that characteristics of high-cost hydrogen storage can be more valuable than low-cost hydrogen storage.Additionally,we show that modifying the freedom of storage sizing and component interactions can make the energy system 10% cheaper and impact the value of technologies.The results suggest looking beyond the pure cost reduction paradigm and focus on developing technologies with suitable value approaches that can lead to cheaper electricity systems in future.展开更多
文摘An appropriate decarbonisation pathway is crucial to achieving carbon neutrality in China before 2060.This paper studies decarbonisation pathways for China's energy system between 2020 and 2060 using an open,provincial,and hourly resolved,networked model within the context of multi‐period planning with myopic investment foresight.Two representative decarbonisation pathways are compared,with particular attention to the synergies of coupling the electricity and heating sectors.An early and steady path in which emissions are strongly reduced in the first decade is more cost‐effective than following a late and rapid path.Early decarbonisation in the electricity sector avoids stranded in-vestments in fossil infrastructure and preserves the carbon budget for later emissions in the difficult‐to‐decarbonise heating sector.Retrofitting the existing coal power plants by adding carbon capture facilities is cost‐effective in both decarbonisation pathways.The hourly and non‐interrupted resolution for a full weather year reveals the balancing strategies of highly renewable,sector‐coupled systems.The significant seasonal variation of heat demand dominates long‐term storage behaviours.
文摘From a macro-energy system perspective,an energy storage is valuable if it contributes to meeting system objectives,including increasing economic value,reliability and sustainability.In most energy systems models,reliability and sustainability are forced by constraints,and if energy demand is exogenous,this leaves cost as the main metric for economic value.Traditional ways to improve storage technologies are to reduce their costs;however,the cheapest energy storage is not always the most valuable in energy systems.Modern techno-economical evaluation methods try to address the cost and value situation but do not judge the competitiveness of multiple technologies simultaneously.This paper introduces the‘market potential method’as a new complementary valuation method guiding innovation of multiple energy storage.The market potential method derives the value of technologies by examining common deployment signals from energy system model outputs in a structured way.We apply and compare this method to cost evaluation approaches in a renewables-based European power system model,covering diverse energy storage technologies.We find that characteristics of high-cost hydrogen storage can be more valuable than low-cost hydrogen storage.Additionally,we show that modifying the freedom of storage sizing and component interactions can make the energy system 10% cheaper and impact the value of technologies.The results suggest looking beyond the pure cost reduction paradigm and focus on developing technologies with suitable value approaches that can lead to cheaper electricity systems in future.
