In the ever-evolving landscape of Alzheimer’s treatment,lecanemab(Leqembi)has emerged as a promising drug.Unlike conventional therapies that merely alleviate symptoms,lecanemab is a humanized monoclonal antibody with...In the ever-evolving landscape of Alzheimer’s treatment,lecanemab(Leqembi)has emerged as a promising drug.Unlike conventional therapies that merely alleviate symptoms,lecanemab is a humanized monoclonal antibody with a distinct focus.It targets protofibrils,insoluble fibrils,amyloid oligomers,and soluble amyloid-beta protofibrils,which are known to be especially damaging to neurons,with high accuracy.展开更多
We used reported behavioural data from cisgender men who have sex with men and transgender women(MSM/TGW)in Bangalore,mainly collected from‘hot-spot’locations that attract MSM/TGW,to illustrate a technique to deal w...We used reported behavioural data from cisgender men who have sex with men and transgender women(MSM/TGW)in Bangalore,mainly collected from‘hot-spot’locations that attract MSM/TGW,to illustrate a technique to deal with potential issues with the representativeness of this sample.A deterministic dynamic model of HIV transmission was developed,incorporating three subgroups of MSM/TGW,grouped according to their reported predominant sexual role(insertive,receptive or versatile).Using mathematical modelling and data triangulation for‘balancing’numbers of partners and role preferences,we compared three different approaches to determine if our technique could be useful for inferring characteristics of a more‘hidden’insertive MSM subpopulation,and explored their potential importance for the HIV epidemic.Projections for 2009 across all three approaches suggest that HIV prevalence among insertive MSM was likely to be less than half that recorded in the surveys(4.5e6.5%versus 13.1%),but that the relative size of this subgroup was over four times larger(61e69%of all MSM/TGW versus 15%).We infer that the insertive MSM accounted for 10e20%of all prevalent HIV infections among urban males aged 15e49.Mathematical modelling can be used with data on‘visible’MSM/TGW to provide insights into the characteristics of‘hidden’MSM.A greater understanding of the sexual behaviour of all MSM/TGW is important for effective HIV programming.More broadly,a hidden subgroup with a lower infectious disease prevalence than more visible subgroups,has the potential to contain more infections,if the hidden subgroup is considerably larger in size.展开更多
Infection prevention and control(IPC)measures to reduce transmission of drug-resistant and drug-sensitive tuberculosis(TB)in health facilities are well described but poorly implemented.The implementation of TB IPC has...Infection prevention and control(IPC)measures to reduce transmission of drug-resistant and drug-sensitive tuberculosis(TB)in health facilities are well described but poorly implemented.The implementation of TB IPC has been assessed primarily through quantitative and structured approaches that treat administrative,environmental,and personal protective measures as discrete entities.We present an on-going project entitled Umoya omuhle(“good air”),conducted in two provinces of South Africa,that adopts an interdisciplinary,‘whole systems’approach to problem analysis and intervention development for reducing nosocomial transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis(Mtb)through improved IPC.We suggest that TB IPC represents a complex intervention that is delivered within a dynamic context shaped by policy guidelines,health facility space,infrastructure,organisation of care,and management culture.Methods drawn from epidemiology,anthropology,and health policy and systems research enable rich contextual analysis of how nosocomial Mtb transmission occurs,as well as opportunities to address the problem holistically.A‘whole systems’approach can identify leverage points within the health facility infrastructure and organisation of care that can inform the design of interventions to reduce the risk of nosocomial Mtb transmission.展开更多
During an infectious disease outbreak,biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy.Motivated by the ongoing r...During an infectious disease outbreak,biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy.Motivated by the ongoing response to COVID-19,we provide a toolkit of statistical and mathematical models beyond the simple SIR-type differential equation models for analysing the early stages of an outbreak and assessing interventions.In particular,we focus on parameter estimation in the presence of known biases in the data,and the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions in enclosed subpopulations,such as households and care homes.We illustrate these methods by applying them to the COVID-19 pandemic.展开更多
INTRODUCTION The heterogeneous epidemiological picture for COVID-19 in Africa continues to generate debate.Modelling projections raise spec-ulation about the phases and trends of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across the contin...INTRODUCTION The heterogeneous epidemiological picture for COVID-19 in Africa continues to generate debate.Modelling projections raise spec-ulation about the phases and trends of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across the continent and how these differ from outbreaks else-where.1-4 Continental efforts drew praise in the first wave of COVID-19,and success has been linked to African experience of epidemics and to decisive leadership.展开更多
文摘In the ever-evolving landscape of Alzheimer’s treatment,lecanemab(Leqembi)has emerged as a promising drug.Unlike conventional therapies that merely alleviate symptoms,lecanemab is a humanized monoclonal antibody with a distinct focus.It targets protofibrils,insoluble fibrils,amyloid oligomers,and soluble amyloid-beta protofibrils,which are known to be especially damaging to neurons,with high accuracy.
文摘We used reported behavioural data from cisgender men who have sex with men and transgender women(MSM/TGW)in Bangalore,mainly collected from‘hot-spot’locations that attract MSM/TGW,to illustrate a technique to deal with potential issues with the representativeness of this sample.A deterministic dynamic model of HIV transmission was developed,incorporating three subgroups of MSM/TGW,grouped according to their reported predominant sexual role(insertive,receptive or versatile).Using mathematical modelling and data triangulation for‘balancing’numbers of partners and role preferences,we compared three different approaches to determine if our technique could be useful for inferring characteristics of a more‘hidden’insertive MSM subpopulation,and explored their potential importance for the HIV epidemic.Projections for 2009 across all three approaches suggest that HIV prevalence among insertive MSM was likely to be less than half that recorded in the surveys(4.5e6.5%versus 13.1%),but that the relative size of this subgroup was over four times larger(61e69%of all MSM/TGW versus 15%).We infer that the insertive MSM accounted for 10e20%of all prevalent HIV infections among urban males aged 15e49.Mathematical modelling can be used with data on‘visible’MSM/TGW to provide insights into the characteristics of‘hidden’MSM.A greater understanding of the sexual behaviour of all MSM/TGW is important for effective HIV programming.More broadly,a hidden subgroup with a lower infectious disease prevalence than more visible subgroups,has the potential to contain more infections,if the hidden subgroup is considerably larger in size.
基金It is funded through the UK Econom ic and Social Research Council(Grant#ES/P008011/1),one of seven research councils underpinning the Antimicrobial Resistance Cross Council Initiative.
文摘Infection prevention and control(IPC)measures to reduce transmission of drug-resistant and drug-sensitive tuberculosis(TB)in health facilities are well described but poorly implemented.The implementation of TB IPC has been assessed primarily through quantitative and structured approaches that treat administrative,environmental,and personal protective measures as discrete entities.We present an on-going project entitled Umoya omuhle(“good air”),conducted in two provinces of South Africa,that adopts an interdisciplinary,‘whole systems’approach to problem analysis and intervention development for reducing nosocomial transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis(Mtb)through improved IPC.We suggest that TB IPC represents a complex intervention that is delivered within a dynamic context shaped by policy guidelines,health facility space,infrastructure,organisation of care,and management culture.Methods drawn from epidemiology,anthropology,and health policy and systems research enable rich contextual analysis of how nosocomial Mtb transmission occurs,as well as opportunities to address the problem holistically.A‘whole systems’approach can identify leverage points within the health facility infrastructure and organisation of care that can inform the design of interventions to reduce the risk of nosocomial Mtb transmission.
文摘During an infectious disease outbreak,biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy.Motivated by the ongoing response to COVID-19,we provide a toolkit of statistical and mathematical models beyond the simple SIR-type differential equation models for analysing the early stages of an outbreak and assessing interventions.In particular,we focus on parameter estimation in the presence of known biases in the data,and the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions in enclosed subpopulations,such as households and care homes.We illustrate these methods by applying them to the COVID-19 pandemic.
基金This study was funded by Wellcome Trust and DFID 219169/Z/19/Z.
文摘INTRODUCTION The heterogeneous epidemiological picture for COVID-19 in Africa continues to generate debate.Modelling projections raise spec-ulation about the phases and trends of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across the continent and how these differ from outbreaks else-where.1-4 Continental efforts drew praise in the first wave of COVID-19,and success has been linked to African experience of epidemics and to decisive leadership.