Understanding of the Fate of Atmospheric Pollutants Using a Process Analysis Tool in a 3-D Regional Air Quality Model at a Fine Grid Scale

The process analysis is performed for August and December, 2002 using the process analysis tool embedded in the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system at a fine horizontal grid resolution of 4-km over an area in the southeastern U.S. that is centered at North Carolina. The objectives are to qunatify the contributions of major atmospheric processes to the formation of major air pollutants and provide the insights into photochemistry that governs the fate of these pollutants at a fine grid scale. The results show that emissions provide a dominant source for gases including ammonia (NH3), nitric oxide (NO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulfur dioxide (SO2) and Particulate Matter (PM) species including fine PM (PM2.5) and its composition such as sulfate, elemental carbon, primary organic aerosol, and other inorganic fine PM in both months. While transport acts as a major sink for NH3, NO, and SO2 at most sites and PM2.5 and most of PM2.5 composition at urban sites, it provides a major source for nitric acid (HNO3) and ozone (O3) at most sites in both months, and secondary PM species in August and most PM species in December at rural and remote sites. Gas-phase chemistry serves as a source for NO2 and HNO3 but a sink for O3 at urban and suburban sites and for NO and SO2 at all sites. PM processes contribute to the formation of PM2.5 and nitrate () at the urban and suburban sites and secondary organic aerosol (SOA) at most sites in December and ammonium () in both months. They reduce formation at most sites in August and at rural and remote sites in December and the formation of PM2.5 and SOA at most sites in August. Dry deposition is an important sink for all these species in both months. The total odd oxygen (Ox) production and the total hydroxyl radical (OH) reacted are much higher at urban and suburban sites than at rural sites. Significant amounts of OH are consumed by biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs) in the rural and remote areas and a combination of anthropogenic VOCs (AVOCs) and BVOCs in urban and subareas areas in August and mainly by AVOCs in December. The amount of NO2 produced by the reactions of hydroperoxy radical (HO2) is similar to that of organic peroxy radical (RO2) at all sites in August but higher than that by the reactions of RO2 inDecember. The production rate of HNO3 due to the reaction of OH with NO2 dominates in both months. The ratio of the production rates of hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) and HNO3 (PH2O2/PHNO3) is a more robust photochemical indicator than the ratios of their mixing ratios (H2O2/HNO3) and the afternoon mixing ratios of NOy in both months, and it is highly sensitive to the horizontal grid resolution in August. The use of PH2O2/PHNO3 simulated at 4-km indicates a VOC-limited O3 chemistry in urban and suburban areas in August that was not captured in previous model simulations at a coarser grid resolution.

Interannual and Decadal Variability of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in the Southeast Coastal States of the United States

The interannual variability of the Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) frequency is well known. Separately, recent studies have also suggested that a much longer, multidecadal (40-60 year) trend might be emerging from the recent increase in Atlantic TC activity. However, the overall structure of the intrinsic frequencies (or temporal modes) of Atlantic TC activity is not yet known. The focus of this study is to systematically an-alyze the intrinsic frequencies of Atlantic TC activity using hurricane and tropical storm landfall data collec-ted along the southeast coast(SEC) of the United States, Based on an Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) analysis of the frequency of landfall TCs along the SEC from 1887-1999, we have found that Atlantic TC activity has four primary, temporal modes. The interannual and multidecadal modes reported in the published literature are two such modes. After identifying all primary modes, the relative importance of each mode and its physical cause can be analyzed. For example, the most energetic mode is the interannual mode (2-7 year period). This mode is known to be associated with the 2-7 year El Nino/ La Ni na cycle. The average number of annual landfalling TCs along (he SEC decreased by 24% during El Nino years, but did not show significant increase during weak and moderate La Nina years. However, intense La Nina years were generally associated with more than average landfalling TCs along the SEC. The effects of El Nino and La Nina also became more significant when only hurricanes were considered. The significance of the effects of El Nino and La Nina on landfalling TCs and hurricanes in different US southeast coastal states showed significant differences.

An Investigation of the Effects of Wave State and Sea Spray on an Idealized Typhoon Using an Air-Sea Coupled Modeling System

In this study, the impact of atmospherewave coupling on typhoon intensity was investigated using numerical simulations of an idealized typhoon in a coupled atmospherewaveocean modeling system. The coupling between atmosphere and sea surface waves considered the effects of wave state and sea sprays on airsea momentum flux, the atmospheric lowlevel dissipative heating, and the wavestateaffected sea spray heat flux. Several experiments were conducted to examine the impacts of wave state, sea sprays, and dissipative heating on an idealized typhoon system. Results show that considering the wave state and seasprayaffected seasurface roughness reduces typhoon intensity, while including dissipative heating intensifies the typhoon system. Taking into account sea spray heat flux also strengthens the typhoon system with increasing maximum wind speed and significant wave height. The overall impact of atmospherewave coupling makes a positive contribution to the intensification of the idealized typhoon system. The minimum central pressure simulated by the coupled atmospherewave experiment was 16.4 hPa deeper than that of the control run, and the maximum wind speed and significant wave height increased by 31% and 4%, respectively. Meanwhile, within the area beneath the typhoon center, the average total upward airsea heat flux increased by 22%, and the averaged latent heat flux increased more significantly by 31% compared to the uncoupled run.

Impacts of Wave and Current on Drag Coefficient and Wind Stress over the Tropical and Northern Pacific

By taking into consideration the effects of ocean surface wave-induced Stokes drift velocity Un, and current velocity Uc on the drag coefficient, the spatial distributions of drag coefficient and wind stress in 2004 are computed over the tropical and northern Pacific using an empirical drag coefficient parameterization formula based on wave steepness and wind speed. The global ocean current field is generated from the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model （HYCOM） and the wave data are generated from Wavewatch Ill （WW3）. The spatial variability of the drag coefficient and wind stress is analyzed. Preliminary results indicate that the ocean surface Stokes drift velocity and current velocity exert an important influence on the wind stress. The results also show that consideration of the effects of the ocean surface Stokes drift velocity and current velocity on the wind stress can significantly improve the modeling of ocean circulation and air-sea interaction processes.

Statistical Downscaling of IPCC Sea Surface Wind and Wind Energy Predictions for U.S. East Coastal Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea

A multivariate statistical downscaling method is developed to produce regional, high-resolution, coastal surface wind fields based on the IPCC global model predictions for the U.S. east coastal ocean, the Gulf of Mexico(GOM), and the Caribbean Sea. The statistical relationship is built upon linear regressions between the empirical orthogonal function(EOF) spaces of a cross- calibrated, multi-platform, multi-instrument ocean surface wind velocity dataset(predictand) and the global NCEP wind reanalysis(predictor) over a 10 year period from 2000 to 2009. The statistical relationship is validated before applications and its effectiveness is confirmed by the good agreement between downscaled wind fields based on the NCEP reanalysis and in-situ surface wind measured at 16 National Data Buoy Center(NDBC) buoys in the U.S. east coastal ocean and the GOM during 1992–1999. The predictand-predictor relationship is applied to IPCC GFDL model output(2.0?×2.5?) of downscaled coastal wind at 0.25?×0.25? resolution. The temporal and spatial variability of future predicted wind speeds and wind energy potential over the study region are further quantified. It is shown that wind speed and power would significantly be reduced in the high CO_2 climate scenario offshore of the mid-Atlantic and northeast U.S., with the speed falling to one quarter of its original value.

Climate Projections of Spatial Variations in Coastal Storm Surges Along the Gulf of Mexico and U.S.East Coast

Using statistically downscaled atmospheric forcing, we performed a numerical investigation to evaluate future climate's impact on storm surges along the Gulf of Mexico and U.S. east coast. The focus is on the impact of climatic changes in wind pattern and surface pressure while neglecting sea level rise and other factors. We adapted the regional ocean model system(ROMS) to the study region with a mesh grid size of 7–10 km in horizontal and 18 vertical layers. The model was validated by a hindcast of the coastal sea levels in the winter of 2008. Model's robustness was confirmed by the good agreement between model-simulated and observed sea levels at 37 tidal gages. Two 10-year forecasts, one for the IPCC Pre-Industry(PI) and the other for the A1 FI scenario, were conducted. The differences in model-simulated surge heights under the two climate scenarios were analyzed. We identified three types of responses in extreme surge heights to future climate: a clear decrease in Middle Atlantic Bight, an increase in the western Gulf of Mexico, and non-significant response for the remaining area. Such spatial pattern is also consistent with previous projections of sea surface winds and ocean wave heights.

Influence of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau snow cover on interannual variability of Western North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks

Track density function(TDF)was computed for all Western North Pacific tropical cyclones(WNP TCs)tracks from 1950 to 2018,and the TDFs were further investigated using principal component analysis(PCA)to analyze their inter-annual spatial and temporal variability.Then,the relationships between each empirical orthogonal function(EOF)mode and the typhoon count,typhoon landfall count,track pattern,and the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau snow cover(QXPSC)were examined,and the possible physical mechanisms implied by the statistical relationship were explored.The results show the QXPSC significantly affected the surface-atmosphere heat exchange through snow cover(SC)level,then changed the East Asian summer monsoon regional circulation pattern,influenced the subtropical high-pressure system strength and location,and ultimately affected the WNP TCs track patterns and thus changed their landfall locations.

An emergency decision support system for the marine pollution

The paper introduces the research progress in an emergency decision support system for marine pollution （EDSS） in China seas and elaborates on the possible role of the Neutron Activation Analysis （NAA） method therein. To deal with the increasingly grave situation of offshore pollution, the EDSS for China seas has been researching and developing. Based on the prediction and analysis of the ocean three-dimensional current field, this system makes an inference on the possible path of diffusion and influencing area of marine pollutants and possible location of pollution source, and in combination with the environmentally sensitive information related to the technical integration of GIS, it puts forward the decision, making support for minimizing the hazard caused by pollutants. This system has been operationalized and running for many years on the Bohai and Huanghai seas＇ Marine Pollutants Prediction and Early-Warning, and it has achieved successful experience for many times in the emergencies of China＇s coastal pollution accidents. At present, the environmental guarantee system directed against heavy metals and radioactive pollutants is in the experimental stage. As the NAA method is especially applicable to the detection of part of heavy metals and radioactive substances, it is of very important practical value for the new system to realize the monitoring, prediction and early-warning of ocean heavy metals and radioactive pollutants.

Dispersal of the Zhujiang River(Pearl River) derived sediment in the Holocene

High-resolution Chirp profiling and coring reveals an elongated （ca. 400 km） Holocene Zhujiang River （Pearl River）-derived mud area （maximum thickness 〉 20 m） extending from the Zhujiang River Delta, southwest-ward off the Guangdong coast, to the Leizhou Peninsula. Two depo-centers, one proximal and one distal, are identified. On the continental shelf off the west Guangdong Province, the mud is deposited in water depth shallower than 50 m; while to the southeast of the Zhujiang River Estuary, the mud area can extend to the -120 m isobath. A combined analysis with the stratigraphic sequences of other muddy deposits in the West-ern Pacific marginal seas （mainly Changjiang （Yangtze） and Huanghe （Yellow） Rivers derived） indicates that the initiation of the Zhujiang River muddy deposit can be further divided into two stages： Stage 1 is before the mid-Holocene sea-level highstand （ca. 7.0 cal. ka BP）, the proximal mud was mostly deposited after 9.0 cal. ka BP, when the sea-level rose slowly after the Meltwater Pulse -1C; Stage 2, after the mid-Holocene sea-level highstand, clinoform developed on the continental shelf off the west Guangdong Province, extending ca. 400 km from the Zhujiang River Estuary. The proximal clinoform thins offshore, from ca. 10 m thickness around 5-10 m water depth to less than 1-2 m around 20-30 m water depth. In addition, we also find a de-veloped distal clinoform in the east of the Leizhou Peninsula.

The effect of Coriolis-Stokes forcing on upper ocean circulation in a two-way coupled wave-current model

We investigated the Stokes drift-driven ocean currents and Stokes drift-induced wind energy input into the upper ocean using a two-way coupled wave-current modeling system that consists of the Princeton Ocean Model generalized coordinate system (POMgcs), Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) wave model, and the Model Coupling Toolkit (MCT). The Coriolis-Stokes forcing (CSF) computed using the wave parameters from SWAN was incorporated with the momentum equation of POMgcs as the core coupling process. Experimental results in an idealized setting show that under the steady state, the scale of the speed of CSF-driven current was 0.001 m/s and the maximum reached 0.02 m/s. The Stokes drift-induced energy rate input into the model ocean was estimated to be 28.5 GW, taking 14% of the direct wind energy rate input. Considering the Stokes drift effects, the total mechanical energy rate input was increased by approximately 14%, which highlights the importance of CSF in modulating the upper ocean circulation. The actual run conducted in Taiwan Adjacent Sea (TAS) shows that: 1) CSF-based wave-current coupling has an impact on ocean surface currents, which is related to the activities of monsoon winds; 2) wave-current coupling plays a significant role in a place where strong eddies present and tends to intensify the eddy's vorticity; 3) wave-current coupling affects the volume transport of the Taiwan Strait (TS) throughflow in a nontrivial degree, 3.75% on average.

Rainfall effect on wind waves and the turbulence beneath air-sea interface

Rainfall effects on wind waves and turbulence are investigated through the laboratory experiments in a large wind-wave tank. It is found that the wind waves are damped as a whole at low wind speeds, but are enhanced at high wind speeds. This dual effect of rain on the wind waves increases with the increase of rain rate, while the influence of rainfall-area length is not observable. At the low wind speed, the corresponding turbulence in terms of the turbulent kinetic energy （TKE） dissipation rate is significantly enhanced by rain- fall as the waves are damped severely. At the high wind speed, the augment of the TKE dissipation rate is suppressed while the wind waves are enhanced simultaneously. In the field, however, rainfall usually hin- ders the development of waves. In order to explain this contradiction of rainfall effect on waves, a possibility about energy transfer from turbulence to waves in case of the spectral peak of waves overlapping the inertial subrange of turbulence is assumed. It can be applied to interpret the damping phenomenon of gas trans- fer velocity in the laboratory experiments, and the variation of the TKE dissipation rates near sea surface compared with the law of wall.

A Numerical Study of a TOGA-COARE Squall-Line Using a Coupled Mesoscale Atmosphere-Ocean Model

An atmosphere-ocean coupled mesoscale modeling system is developed and used to investigate the interactions between a squall line and the upper ocean observed over the western Paci?c warm pool during the Tropical Ocean/Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean and Atmosphere Response Experiment (TOGA-COARE). The modeling system is developed by coupling the Advanced Regional Prediction Sys- tem (ARPS) to the Princeton Ocean Model (POM) through precipitation and two-way exchanges of mo- mentum, heat, and moisture across the air-sea interface. The results indicate that the interaction between the squall-line and the upper ocean produced noticeable di?erences in the sensible and latent heat ?uxes, as compared to the uncoupled cases. Precipitation, which is often ignored in air-sea heat ?ux estimates, played a major role in the coupling between the mesoscale convective system and the ocean. Precipitation a?ected the air-sea interaction through both freshwater ?ux and sensible heat ?ux. The former led to the formation of a thin stable ocean layer underneath and behind the precipitating atmospheric convection. The presence of this stable layer resulted in a more signi?cant convection-induced sea surface temperature (SST) change in and behind the precipitation zone. However, convection-induced SST changes do not seem to play an important role in the intsensi?cation of the existing convective system that resulted in the SST change, as the convection quickly moved away from the region of original SST response.

The controlling factors of high suspended sediment concentration in the intertidal flat off the Huanghe River Estuary

The Huanghe River(Yellow River)is known by its high suspended sediment concentration(SSC)in its river mouth tidal flat.However,the factors controlling the high SSC over there are not well understood.Therefore,we conducted 7-d hydrodynamic observations(water depth,wave height,and current velocity)and SSC measurements on the tidal flat off the Huanghe River Mouth.The data shows that in most of time,under the calm sea condition,the SSC ranges 0.1–3.5 g/L,and sediment discharge from the river is the main source.However,when hydrodynamics are enhanced in a tidal cycle and large-scale erosion occurs on the seafloor,resuspended sediment becomes the main source,and the SSC in the water column reaches 17.3 g/L.We find the suspended sediment flux is mainly controlled by the tidal current and Stokes drift,while the wave-induced shear stress could also affect the variation of suspended sediment flux.During the observation period,when sea under calm-rippled conditions,the current-induced resuspended sediment concentration(RSC)was greater than the wave-induced RSC.In contrast,in smooth-wavelet sea conditions,the wave-induced RSC was greater than the current-induced RSC,for instance,a single wave event was found to cause 11.8 cm seabed erosion within 6 h.This study reveals different controlling factors for the high SSC near a river-influenced tidal flat,and helps us get a better understanding of a delta's depositional and erosional mechanisms.

MIS 3晚期以来江苏中部海岸的层序地层

通过对苏北岸外西洋潮流通道内钻孔和地震剖面的地层沉积学、年代地层学、地震地层学和层序地层学等多学科再研究,以及区域钻孔再对比,本文确定该海域约从35kaBP(14C惯用年龄)开始经历了滨岸砂坝、淡水湖沼、河流泛滥平原、滨岸沼泽、潮流沙脊和潮流通道一系列的环境演变,主要受控于MIS3晚期以来的海平面旋回以及古河流入海沉积物供给,而构造沉降是相对次要的,由此形成了五级层序地层中的末次冰期晚间冰阶准层序和冰后期准层序,以及前者的高水位体系域和强制海退楔体系域、后者的海侵体系域和高水位体系域。海域中潮流沙脊可能开始发育于冰后期海侵淹没本区(约9calkaBP)之后,但一直只是水下暗沙且处在不断调整之中,直到1128～1855AD间黄河夺淮从苏北入黄海,大量泥沙充填潮道,部分水下暗沙出露海面成为明沙。西洋潮流通道并非是晚全新世期间通过沙脊的蚀低而形成,而在全新世高海面前后就已具雏形并持续至1128AD,1128～1855AD和1855AD至今分别经历了充填淤浅与冲刷成型的过程,且今后具有进一步展宽刷深的趋势。

南海表层黏土矿物的分布与来源

南海表层黏土矿物组合主要包括伊利石、绿泥石、高岭石和蒙皂石,这些矿物在不同地区不同水深有着不同的分布特征,而物源区的不同是导致分布特征存在差异的主要因素。结合在南海西部和北部的工作以及近年来其他学者发表的南海表层黏土矿物资料将其大致分为东南西北4个部分,并确定各自的物源区。台湾和吕宋岛是南海东部表层黏土矿物的主要来源;湄公河、婆罗洲、巽他陆架和印度尼西亚岛弧是南海南部的主要物源区;南海西部表层黏土矿物主要来自红河、湄公河、珠江、台湾、巽他陆架、印度尼西亚岛弧以及婆罗洲;珠江、台湾、长江和吕宋岛则是南海北部的主要来源。

南海北部ZHS-176孔古海洋学记录:氧同位素和有机碳

对南海北部陆坡ZHS-176孔进行浮游有孔虫氧同位素和有机碳的研究,重建了末次冰期以来的古气候演化历史。ZHS-176孔浮游有孔虫氧同位素分析揭示了末次冰期期间的气候波动,如末次盛冰期、Heinrich事件1、Blling-Allerd暖期与新仙女木事件在南海北部陆坡均有响应。同时,在全新世阶段存在3个强降水期和3个弱降水期。ZHS-176孔有机碳以生物成因为主,随着夏季风的增强,陆源物质含量增加,但在3kaBP以后由于华南地区夏季风减弱而导致陆源输入减少。

基于一个年龄概念的河口污染物输运数值模拟

根据Deleersnijder定义的一个平均年龄概念,运用耦合了物质输运模式的一个三维水动力-富营养化数值模型(HEM-3D),研究了位于美国北卡罗莱纳州Pamlico河口(PRE)的污染物输运时间在不同淡水流量影响下的分布情况。模型结果表明,在正常期,污染物被输运出PRE需要大约65d的时间。而在枯水期和洪水期,污染物分别需要230d和20d时间被输运出PRE。这表明物质输运过程明显受淡水流量的影响。污染物输运时间的空间变化显著受河口中盐度入侵的影响,咸水入侵在其可以达到的最大区域形成了一个盐度锋面,而这个锋面阻碍了污染物向外的输运。盐度层化对输运时间的垂向分布影响显著,输运时间垂向梯度随着盐度层化的增强而增大。

全新世长江泥沙堆积的时空分布及通量估算

利用长江中下游、河口及口外、浙-闽沿岸陆架6个主要沉积盆地的40个晚第四纪钻孔及其年代学数据和长江口外、陆架的浅地层剖面,计算了全新世不同阶段各沉积盆地的沉积速率,并进行了近7 000年来泥沙堆积通量的估算.研究发现全新世早期距今10 000年至8 000年间长江口下切古河谷是长江泥沙的主要堆积中心,沉积速率可高达15 m/ka.随着海平面上升,全新世中期长江中下游也成为长江泥沙的重要沉积盆地,其中江汉盆地的沉积速率可达10 m/ka.近2 000年来,口外、陆架的堆积呈明显增加趋势,反映长江中下游盆地和河口可容空间日益减小.根据沉积速率估算,距今7 000年来长江中下游堆积泥沙约13 074×10^8t,同期水下三角洲和陆架的泥沙堆积量约为9 470×10^8 t.研究还发现全新世以来有两个异常低沉积速率时期：距今8 000-7 000年期间上述各沉积盆地沉积速率均显著低,未见长江泥沙的沉积中心;距今4 000-2 000年期间长江口呈现低沉积速率.这两次异常的原因推测与海平面、气候波动事件密切相关.

全新世事件3与古文化变迁

全新世事件3是1997年由Bond等提出的、指的是发生在4.2 ka BP左右的冷事件。此后,冰心、海洋沉积物、湖泊沉积物、石笋和泥炭等各种地质载体被广泛用于全新世事件3的研究当中。此次事件在全球范围内普遍存在,在北半球中、低纬度大部分地区以冷干的气候条件为主,而在北半球高纬度地区和南半球部分地区则以冷湿的气候条件为主。同时,这次冷干或者冷湿的气候波动对于当时世界范围内的古文化变迁产生了重要的影响,是造成非洲尼罗河流域古埃及文明、两河流域美索不达米亚古阿卡德帝国、印度河流域哈拉帕文明以及中国新石器文化的衰落的主要原因。而全新世事件3的主要成因很可能是当时太阳活动减弱,一方面导致北大西洋表层浮冰增加,表层海水温度降低,减弱了温盐循环,使海陆温差减小,季风减弱;另一方面使热带幅合带南移,在北半球中、低纬度大部分地区形成干旱降温事件。

Falls Lake水库内溶解物输运模拟

溶解物在水库内的输运过程受人为因素影响较大。为研究水库内物质输运的过程和机制,以美国北卡罗来纳州的Falls Lake水库为研究对象,运用EFDC三维数值模型对物质在水库内的输运过程进行模拟研究,分析示踪物平均年龄和滞留时间的分布以及变化。结果显示:理想状态下,流量决定溶解物的输运过程;实际情况中,除流量外,水库的即时蓄水量是影响输运过程的另一个重要因素;水库结构和径流分布是导致示踪物在各区域局地滞留时间存在差异的主要因素。