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Probability of informed trading during the COVID‑19 pandemic:the case of the Romanian stock market
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作者 Cosmin Octavian Cepoi Victor Dragotă +1 位作者 Ruxandra Trifan Andreea Iordache 《Financial Innovation》 2023年第1期889-915,共27页
Using data from the Bucharest Stock Exchange,we examine the factors influencing the probability of informed trading(PIN)during February—October 2020,a COVID-19 pandemic period.Based on an unconditional quantile regre... Using data from the Bucharest Stock Exchange,we examine the factors influencing the probability of informed trading(PIN)during February—October 2020,a COVID-19 pandemic period.Based on an unconditional quantile regression approach,we show that PIN exhibit asymmetric dependency with liquidity and trading costs.Furthermore,building a customized database that contains all insider transactions on the Bucharest Stock Exchange,we reveal that these types of orders monotonically increase the infor-mation asymmetry from the 50th to the 90th quantile throughout the PIN distribution.Finally,we bring strong empirical evidence associating the level of information asym-metry to the level of fake news related to the COVID-19 pandemic.This novel result suggests that during episodes when the level of PIN is medium to high(between 15 and 50%),any COVID-19 related news classified as misinformation released during the lockdown period,is discouraging informed traders to place buy or sell orders condi-tioned by their private information. 展开更多
关键词 PIN COVID-19 Market microstructure Insider trading
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