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基于变分模态分解和蝙蝠算法-相关向量机的短期风速区间预测 被引量:45
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作者 范磊 卫志农 +3 位作者 李慧杰 Kwok W Cheung 孙国强 孙永辉 《电力自动化设备》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2017年第1期93-100,共8页
现有的风速预测方法大多是确定性的点预测,无法描述风速的随机性。针对该问题,建立基于变分模态分解(VMD)和蝙蝠算法-相关向量机(BA-RVM)的短期风速区间预测模型。对原始风速序列进行变分模态分解获得多个子序列;采用样本熵(SE)算法对... 现有的风速预测方法大多是确定性的点预测,无法描述风速的随机性。针对该问题,建立基于变分模态分解(VMD)和蝙蝠算法-相关向量机(BA-RVM)的短期风速区间预测模型。对原始风速序列进行变分模态分解获得多个子序列;采用样本熵(SE)算法对子序列进行重组得到3类具有典型特性的分量;对各分量采用相关向量机算法分别建立预测模型。为进一步提高预测精度、缩小区间范围,引入蝙蝠算法(BA)对预测模型进行参数优化。将各分量的预测结果进行叠加求和得到一定置信水平下总体的区间预测结果。实际算例结果表明,与现有方法相比,所提区间预测方法的预测精度和区间覆盖率更高,区间宽度更窄。 展开更多
关键词 风电 风速预测 短期预测 相关向量机 变分模态分解 区间预测
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Stability Limitation and Analytical Evaluation of Voltage Droop Controllers for VSC MTDC 被引量:34
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作者 Wenyuan Wang Mike Barnes Ognjen Marjanovic 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE 2018年第2期238-249,共12页
This paper presents a systematic analysis of DC voltage stability of a multi-terminal VSC-HVDC(MTDC)system,with the emphasis on a comparative study of the most ubiquitous droop control configurations.The paper introdu... This paper presents a systematic analysis of DC voltage stability of a multi-terminal VSC-HVDC(MTDC)system,with the emphasis on a comparative study of the most ubiquitous droop control configurations.The paper introduces a general framework for the analysis of various droop control configurations employed in MTDC systems.This framework is then used to compare leading droop control configurations in terms of their impact on the relative stability,performance and robustness of the overall MTDC system.A generalized analytical MTDC model that contains detailed models of AC and DC system components is derived.Limitations imposed by DC power flow,DC inductor,cable modeling and AC network impedance on DC system stability are identified.Classical and multivariable frequency response analysis and eigenvalue analysis are applied to open-loop and closed-loop models to compare the stability and robustness of five leading droop controllers,with the focus on feedback signal selection and controller parameterization.This paper also proposes an active stabilizing controller,which takes the form of a modified constant power control,to enhance the controllability and robustness of the DC voltage control. 展开更多
关键词 Droop control mathematical modeling MTDC control stability VSC HVDC
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Chance-constrained Coordinated Optimization for Urban Electricity and Heat Networks 被引量:6
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作者 Zhinong Wei Juan Sun +5 位作者 Zhoujun Ma Guoqiang Sun Haixiang Zang Sheng Chen Side Zhang Kwok W.Cheung 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE 2018年第4期399-407,共9页
Urban electricity and heat networks(UEHN)consist of the coupling and interactions between electric power systems and district heating systems,in which the geographical and functional features of integrated energy syst... Urban electricity and heat networks(UEHN)consist of the coupling and interactions between electric power systems and district heating systems,in which the geographical and functional features of integrated energy systems are demonstrated.UEHN have been expected to provide an effective way to accommodate the intermittent and unpredictable renewable energy sources,in which the application of stochastic optimization approaches to UEHN analysis is highly desired.In this paper,we propose a chance-constrained coordinated optimization approach for UEHN considering the uncertainties in electricity loads,heat loads,and photovoltaic outputs,as well as the correlations between these uncertain sources.A solution strategy,which combines the Latin Hypercube Sampling Monte Carlo Simulation(LHSMCS)approach and a heuristic algorithm,is specifically designed to deal with the proposed chance-constrained coordinated optimization.Finally,test results on an UEHN comprised of a modified IEEE 33-bus system and a 32-node district heating system at Barry Island have verified the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed framework. 展开更多
关键词 Chance-constrained optimal power flow(CCOPF) correlated uncertainties combined Latin Hypercube Sampling Monte Carlo Simulation(LHSMCS)approach and heuristic algorithm urban electricity and heat networks(UEHN)
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Deployment and demonstration of wide area monitoring system in power system of Great Britain 被引量:1
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作者 Peter WALL Papiya DATTARAY +8 位作者 Zhaoyang JIN Priyanka MOHAPATRA James YU Douglas WILSON Karine HAY Stuart CLARK Mark OSBORNE Phillip M.ASHTON Vladimir TERZIJA 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 SCIE EI 2016年第3期506-518,共13页
The creation of a suitable wide area monitoring system(WAMS) is widely recognized as an essential aspect of delivering a power system that will be secure,efficient and sustainable for the foreseeable future. In Great ... The creation of a suitable wide area monitoring system(WAMS) is widely recognized as an essential aspect of delivering a power system that will be secure,efficient and sustainable for the foreseeable future. In Great Britain(GB), the deployment of the first WAMS to monitor the entire power system in real time was the responsibility of the visualization of real time system dynamics using enhanced monitoring(VISOR) project. The core scope of the VISOR project is to deploy this WAMS and demonstrate how WAMS applications can in the near term provide system operators and planners with clear, actionable information. This paper presents the wider scope of the VISOR project and the GB wide WAMS that has been deployed. Furthermore, the paper describes some of the WAMS applications that have been deployed and provides examples of the measurement device performance issues that have been encountered during the project. 展开更多
关键词 Model validation Line parameter estimation Subsynchronous oscillation Subsynchronous resonance synchronized measurement technology Wide area monitoring
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