Over the past 30 years, China has achieved remarkable long-term economic growth. Using quarterly data, we study the effects of money supply on real output and inflation in China between 1993 and 2008. To this end, we ...Over the past 30 years, China has achieved remarkable long-term economic growth. Using quarterly data, we study the effects of money supply on real output and inflation in China between 1993 and 2008. To this end, we use money supply shocks afler filtering out the expected component of the money supply. Our findings provide evidence supporting the asymmetric effect of positive and negative money supply shocks on real output and inflation in China. That is, real GDP growth in China responds to negative money supply shocks but not positive money supply shocks. In addition, inflation responds to positive money supply shocks but not negative money supply shocks. We conclude that the People＇s Bank of China＇ s policy of steady monetary growth appears to be appropriate. Our study offers important policy implications for China.展开更多
An appreciation in the price of housing could generate speculation opportunities for enterprises.Many firms try to seize these opportunities for quick returns.This may harm their productivity.We use the real estate bo...An appreciation in the price of housing could generate speculation opportunities for enterprises.Many firms try to seize these opportunities for quick returns.This may harm their productivity.We use the real estate boom and the investment activities of Chinese manufacturing firms during 2006–2017 to examine the processes and the net effect of housing market speculation on firm productivity.We find that housing market speculation negatively affects firm productivity by crowding out investments in research and development and productive fixed assets,and the positive effect brought about by a strengthened balance sheet and better financing capacity is outweighed by the crowding-out effect.This negative impact is more evident in state-owned firms,but is mitigated in regions and periods with better business environments.Set in the overheated housing market in China,our study contributes to the existing literature by exploring how firms’investments outside of their main business influence firm behavior and productivity.展开更多
文摘Over the past 30 years, China has achieved remarkable long-term economic growth. Using quarterly data, we study the effects of money supply on real output and inflation in China between 1993 and 2008. To this end, we use money supply shocks afler filtering out the expected component of the money supply. Our findings provide evidence supporting the asymmetric effect of positive and negative money supply shocks on real output and inflation in China. That is, real GDP growth in China responds to negative money supply shocks but not positive money supply shocks. In addition, inflation responds to positive money supply shocks but not negative money supply shocks. We conclude that the People＇s Bank of China＇ s policy of steady monetary growth appears to be appropriate. Our study offers important policy implications for China.
基金This research was financially supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China(No.19BJY105).
文摘An appreciation in the price of housing could generate speculation opportunities for enterprises.Many firms try to seize these opportunities for quick returns.This may harm their productivity.We use the real estate boom and the investment activities of Chinese manufacturing firms during 2006–2017 to examine the processes and the net effect of housing market speculation on firm productivity.We find that housing market speculation negatively affects firm productivity by crowding out investments in research and development and productive fixed assets,and the positive effect brought about by a strengthened balance sheet and better financing capacity is outweighed by the crowding-out effect.This negative impact is more evident in state-owned firms,but is mitigated in regions and periods with better business environments.Set in the overheated housing market in China,our study contributes to the existing literature by exploring how firms’investments outside of their main business influence firm behavior and productivity.
