In this paper,based on the analysis of the variation of effective accumulated temperature and precipita- tion in the last 100 years,together with the potential impacts of greenhouse effects on the climate in China sim...In this paper,based on the analysis of the variation of effective accumulated temperature and precipita- tion in the last 100 years,together with the potential impacts of greenhouse effects on the climate in China simulated with the current major climatic models(GFDL,GISS,NCAR,OSU and UKMO),the impacts of climate change on rice in the middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River and winter wheat production on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain~* are simulated with the available weather-yield statistic models on the assumption that te- mperature variation ranges 1—4℃ and precipitation variation ranges ±10—20%.The result is that under the current planting systems and agrotechniques,the impact of climate change on wheat production is more signifi- cant than that on rice;the climatic conditions of agricultural production in the north of China will become more favourable while those in the south of the middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River remain the same;but those in the southern part of North China and the basins between Changjiang River and Haihe River are rather unstable.In general,it is difficult to reach the conclusion that advantages or disadvantages dominate in such climate changes because of uncertainties.展开更多
An advanced carbon dioxide retrieval algorithm for satellite observations has been developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. The algorithm is tested using Greenhouse gases Observi...An advanced carbon dioxide retrieval algorithm for satellite observations has been developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. The algorithm is tested using Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite(GOSAT) L1 B data and validated using the Total Column Carbon Observing Network(TCCON) measurements. The retrieved XCO2 agrees well with TCCON measurements in a low bias of 0.15 ppmv and RMSE of 1.48 ppmv, and captured the seasonal variation and increasing of XCO2 in Northern and Southern Hemisphere, respectively, as other measurements.展开更多
文摘In this paper,based on the analysis of the variation of effective accumulated temperature and precipita- tion in the last 100 years,together with the potential impacts of greenhouse effects on the climate in China simulated with the current major climatic models(GFDL,GISS,NCAR,OSU and UKMO),the impacts of climate change on rice in the middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River and winter wheat production on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain~* are simulated with the available weather-yield statistic models on the assumption that te- mperature variation ranges 1—4℃ and precipitation variation ranges ±10—20%.The result is that under the current planting systems and agrotechniques,the impact of climate change on wheat production is more signifi- cant than that on rice;the climatic conditions of agricultural production in the north of China will become more favourable while those in the south of the middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River remain the same;but those in the southern part of North China and the basins between Changjiang River and Haihe River are rather unstable.In general,it is difficult to reach the conclusion that advantages or disadvantages dominate in such climate changes because of uncertainties.
基金supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program-Climate Change:Carbon Budget and Relevant Issues(XDA05040200)the National High-tech Research and Development Program(2011AA12A104)
文摘An advanced carbon dioxide retrieval algorithm for satellite observations has been developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. The algorithm is tested using Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite(GOSAT) L1 B data and validated using the Total Column Carbon Observing Network(TCCON) measurements. The retrieved XCO2 agrees well with TCCON measurements in a low bias of 0.15 ppmv and RMSE of 1.48 ppmv, and captured the seasonal variation and increasing of XCO2 in Northern and Southern Hemisphere, respectively, as other measurements.