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“Towards Re-Inventing Psychohistory”:Predicting the Popularity of Tomorrow’s News from Yesterday’s Twitter and News Feeds 被引量:1
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作者 Jiachen Sun Peter Gloor 《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第1期85-104,共20页
Rapid advances in machine learning combined with wide availability of online social media have created considerable research activity in predicting what might be the news of tomorrow based on an analysis of the past.I... Rapid advances in machine learning combined with wide availability of online social media have created considerable research activity in predicting what might be the news of tomorrow based on an analysis of the past.In this work,we present a deep learning forecasting framework which is capable to predict tomorrow’s news topics on Twitter and news feeds based on yesterday’s content and topic-interaction features.The proposed framework starts by generating topics from words using word embeddings and K-means clustering.Then temporal topic-networks are constructed where two topics are linked if the same user has worked on both topics.Structural and dynamic metrics calculated from networks along with content features and past activity,are used as input of a long short-term memory(LSTM)model,which predicts the number of mentions of a specific topic on the subsequent day.Utilizing dependencies among topics,our experiments on two Twitter datasets and the HuffPost news dataset demonstrate that selecting a topic’s historical local neighbors in the topic-network as extra features greatly improves the prediction accuracy and outperforms existing baselines. 展开更多
关键词 Topic’s popularity trend forecasting social media
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ARISTOTLE SAID "HAPPINESS IS A STATE OF ACTIVITY" - PREDICTING MOOD THROUGH BODY SENSING WITH SMARTWATCHES
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作者 Peter A Gloor Andrea Fronzetti Colladon +2 位作者 Francesca Grippa Pascal Budner Joscha Eirich 《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第5期586-612,共27页
We measure and predict states of Activation and Happiness using a body sensing applicationconnected to smartwatches. Through the sensors of commercially available smartwatches we collectindividual mood states and corr... We measure and predict states of Activation and Happiness using a body sensing applicationconnected to smartwatches. Through the sensors of commercially available smartwatches we collectindividual mood states and correlate them with body sensing data such as acceleration, heart rate, lightlevel data, and location, through the GPS sensor built into the smartphone connected to the smartwatchWe polled users on the smartwatch for seven weeks four times per day asking for their mood state. Wefound that both Happiness and Activation are negatively correlated with heart beats and with the levelsof light. People tend to be happier when they are moving more intensely and are feeling less activatedduring weekends. We also found that people with a lower Conscientiousness and Neuroticism andhigher Agreeableness tend to be happy more frequently. In addition, more Activation can be predictedby lower Openness to experience and higher Agreeableness and Conscientiousness. Lastly, we find thattracking people's geographical coordinates might play an important role in predicting Happiness andActivation. The methodology we propose is a first step towards building an automated mood trackingsystem, to be used for better teamwork and in combination with social network analysis studies. 展开更多
关键词 Body sensing systems mood tracking smartwatch experience sampling HAPPINESS ACTIVATION
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