World Mental Health Day was initiated in 1992 by the World Federation for Mental Health(WFMH),a global mental health organization with members and contacts in more than 150 countries,and is celebrated every year to ed...World Mental Health Day was initiated in 1992 by the World Federation for Mental Health(WFMH),a global mental health organization with members and contacts in more than 150 countries,and is celebrated every year to educate people on mental health,raise awareness for mental illnesses,and reduce associated stigma.It is supported by the World Health Organization(WHO)based on its strong relationships with ministries of health and civil society organizations across the globe.展开更多
Introduction:Varicella,a prevalent respiratory infection among children,has become an escalating public health issue in China.The potential to considerably mitigate and control these outbreaks lies in surveillance-bas...Introduction:Varicella,a prevalent respiratory infection among children,has become an escalating public health issue in China.The potential to considerably mitigate and control these outbreaks lies in surveillance-based early warning systems.This research employed an autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model with the objective of predicting future varicella outbreaks in the country.Methods:An ARIMA model was developed and fine-tuned using historical data on the monthly instances of varicella outbreaks reported in China from 2005 to 2018.To determine statistically significant models,parameter and Ljung-Box tests were employed.The coefficients of determination(R2)and the normalized Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC)were compared to selecting an optimal model.This chosen model was subsequently utilized to forecast varicella outbreak cases for the year 2019.Results:Four models passed parameter(all P<0.05)and Ljung-Box tests(all P>0.05).ARIMA(1,1,1)×(0,1,1)12 was determined to be the optimal model based on its coefficient of determination R2(0.271)and standardized BIC(14.970).Fitted values made by the ARIMA(1,1,1)×(0,1,1)12 model closely followed the values observed in 2019,the average relative error between the actual value and the predicted value is 15.2%.Conclusion:The ARIMA model can be employed to predict impending trends in varicella outbreaks.This serves to offer a scientific benchmark for strategies concerning varicella prevention and control.展开更多
Summary What is already known about this topic?The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic poses a significant threat to mental health globally and may change the proportion of hospitalized patients.What is added b...Summary What is already known about this topic?The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic poses a significant threat to mental health globally and may change the proportion of hospitalized patients.What is added by this report?This report analyzed and compared the disease characteristics of psychiatric inpatients one year before and after Wuhan lifted lockdown during COVID-19.About 50%of the inpatients were diagnosed with bipolar disorder;females and adolescents had a higher prevalence of mental disorders.What are the implications for public health practice?More attention should be paid to the mental health of children,adolescents,and females.展开更多
Introduction:Varicella outbreaks significantly disrupt schools and other child-centered institutions.This study aimed to identify patterns and epidemiological features of varicella outbreaks in China from 2006 to 2022...Introduction:Varicella outbreaks significantly disrupt schools and other child-centered institutions.This study aimed to identify patterns and epidemiological features of varicella outbreaks in China from 2006 to 2022.Methods:Data were extracted from outbreak reports submitted to the Public Health Emergency Reporting Management Information System within the specified timeframe.Analytical methods included Spearman correlation tests and the Mann-Kendall trend tests,conducted using R software to analyze and summarize reported data.Additionally,statistical analyses of trends and epidemiological characteristics were performed using SPSS software.Results:Between 2006 and 2022,a total of 11,990 varicella outbreaks were reported in China,resulting in 354,082 cases.The attack rates showed a decreasing trend over the years(Z=−4.49,P<0.05).These outbreaks occurred in two peaks annually.The eastern region accounted for the highest number of outbreaks(31.53%),followed by the southwestern(24.22%)and southern(17.93%)regions.Varicella outbreaks were most common in elementary schools.Most of the outbreaks(60.43%)were classified as Grade IV(general)severity,with 86.41%of the outbreaks having 10–49 cases.The median and inter-quartile ranges(IQR)of the duration of outbreaks,response time,and case counts were 21(10,39)days,4(0,12)days,and 23(16,35)cases,respectively.These variables showed a positive correlation(P<0.001).Conclusions:Varicella outbreaks exhibited fluctuating trends,initially decreasing until 2012,followed by an increase,reaching the highest peak in 2018–2019.Continual monitoring of varicella epidemiology is necessary to assess the burden of the disease and formulate evidence-based strategies and policies for its prevention and control.展开更多
Summary What is already known about this topic?Hypersomnia is an atypical characteristic of unipolar depression(UD),indicating a high risk of bipolar depression.Identifying the symptom should be prioritized in patient...Summary What is already known about this topic?Hypersomnia is an atypical characteristic of unipolar depression(UD),indicating a high risk of bipolar depression.Identifying the symptom should be prioritized in patients with UD.However,the status and correlated factors of hypersomnia greatly varied across investigations.What is added by this report?展开更多
文摘World Mental Health Day was initiated in 1992 by the World Federation for Mental Health(WFMH),a global mental health organization with members and contacts in more than 150 countries,and is celebrated every year to educate people on mental health,raise awareness for mental illnesses,and reduce associated stigma.It is supported by the World Health Organization(WHO)based on its strong relationships with ministries of health and civil society organizations across the globe.
基金Supported by Beijing Natural Science Foundation(L202008)and National Science and Technology Major Project of China(2012CB955500,2012CB955504).
文摘Introduction:Varicella,a prevalent respiratory infection among children,has become an escalating public health issue in China.The potential to considerably mitigate and control these outbreaks lies in surveillance-based early warning systems.This research employed an autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model with the objective of predicting future varicella outbreaks in the country.Methods:An ARIMA model was developed and fine-tuned using historical data on the monthly instances of varicella outbreaks reported in China from 2005 to 2018.To determine statistically significant models,parameter and Ljung-Box tests were employed.The coefficients of determination(R2)and the normalized Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC)were compared to selecting an optimal model.This chosen model was subsequently utilized to forecast varicella outbreak cases for the year 2019.Results:Four models passed parameter(all P<0.05)and Ljung-Box tests(all P>0.05).ARIMA(1,1,1)×(0,1,1)12 was determined to be the optimal model based on its coefficient of determination R2(0.271)and standardized BIC(14.970).Fitted values made by the ARIMA(1,1,1)×(0,1,1)12 model closely followed the values observed in 2019,the average relative error between the actual value and the predicted value is 15.2%.Conclusion:The ARIMA model can be employed to predict impending trends in varicella outbreaks.This serves to offer a scientific benchmark for strategies concerning varicella prevention and control.
文摘Summary What is already known about this topic?The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic poses a significant threat to mental health globally and may change the proportion of hospitalized patients.What is added by this report?This report analyzed and compared the disease characteristics of psychiatric inpatients one year before and after Wuhan lifted lockdown during COVID-19.About 50%of the inpatients were diagnosed with bipolar disorder;females and adolescents had a higher prevalence of mental disorders.What are the implications for public health practice?More attention should be paid to the mental health of children,adolescents,and females.
基金Supported by 2020 Beijing Natural Science Foundation-Haidian Original Innovation Joint Fund Key research topic(L202008)National Key Scientific Research Program(973 Program)(2012CB955500,2012CB955504).
文摘Introduction:Varicella outbreaks significantly disrupt schools and other child-centered institutions.This study aimed to identify patterns and epidemiological features of varicella outbreaks in China from 2006 to 2022.Methods:Data were extracted from outbreak reports submitted to the Public Health Emergency Reporting Management Information System within the specified timeframe.Analytical methods included Spearman correlation tests and the Mann-Kendall trend tests,conducted using R software to analyze and summarize reported data.Additionally,statistical analyses of trends and epidemiological characteristics were performed using SPSS software.Results:Between 2006 and 2022,a total of 11,990 varicella outbreaks were reported in China,resulting in 354,082 cases.The attack rates showed a decreasing trend over the years(Z=−4.49,P<0.05).These outbreaks occurred in two peaks annually.The eastern region accounted for the highest number of outbreaks(31.53%),followed by the southwestern(24.22%)and southern(17.93%)regions.Varicella outbreaks were most common in elementary schools.Most of the outbreaks(60.43%)were classified as Grade IV(general)severity,with 86.41%of the outbreaks having 10–49 cases.The median and inter-quartile ranges(IQR)of the duration of outbreaks,response time,and case counts were 21(10,39)days,4(0,12)days,and 23(16,35)cases,respectively.These variables showed a positive correlation(P<0.001).Conclusions:Varicella outbreaks exhibited fluctuating trends,initially decreasing until 2012,followed by an increase,reaching the highest peak in 2018–2019.Continual monitoring of varicella epidemiology is necessary to assess the burden of the disease and formulate evidence-based strategies and policies for its prevention and control.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(81971235,81771429)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,Peking University Medicine Fund B of Fostering Young Scholars'Scientific&Technological Innovation(BMU2021 PYB045).
文摘Summary What is already known about this topic?Hypersomnia is an atypical characteristic of unipolar depression(UD),indicating a high risk of bipolar depression.Identifying the symptom should be prioritized in patients with UD.However,the status and correlated factors of hypersomnia greatly varied across investigations.What is added by this report?