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Dynamic Modeling and Analysis of Occult Transmission of Omicron SARS-CoV-2 Epidemic
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作者 Kun Wang Lu Wang Linhua Zhou 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2023年第2期457-477,共21页
At present, the Omicron variant is still the dominant strain in the global novel coronavirus pneumonia pandemic, and has the characteristics of concealed transmission, which brings heavy pressure to the health systems... At present, the Omicron variant is still the dominant strain in the global novel coronavirus pneumonia pandemic, and has the characteristics of concealed transmission, which brings heavy pressure to the health systems of different countries. Omicron infections were first found in Chinese Mainland in Tianjin in December 2021, and Omicron epidemic broke out in many parts of China in 2022. In order to enable the country and government to make scientific and accurate decisions in the face of the epidemic, it is particularly important to predict and analyze the relevant factors of Omicron’s covert transmission. In this paper, based on the official data of Jilin City and the improved SEIR dynamic model, through parameter estimation, the contact infection probability of symptomatic infected persons in Omicron infected patients is 0.4265, and the attenuation factor is 0.1440. Secondly, the influence of infectious duration in different incubation periods, asymptomatic infected persons and other factors on the epidemic situation in this area was compared. Finally, the scale of epidemic development was predicted and analyzed. 展开更多
关键词 Omicron Epidemic Epidemic Dynamics Model Hidden Transmission Numerical Simulation
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Adaptive Threshold Estimation of Open Set Voiceprint Recognition Based on OTSU and Deep Learning 被引量:1
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作者 Xudong Li Xinjia Yang Linhua Zhou 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2020年第11期2671-2682,共12页
Aiming at the problem of open set voiceprint recognition, this paper proposes an adaptive threshold algorithm based on OTSU and deep learning. The bottleneck technology of open set voiceprint recognition lies in the c... Aiming at the problem of open set voiceprint recognition, this paper proposes an adaptive threshold algorithm based on OTSU and deep learning. The bottleneck technology of open set voiceprint recognition lies in the calculation of similarity values and thresholds of speakers inside and outside the set. This paper combines deep learning and machine learning methods, and uses a Deep Belief Network stacked with three layers of Restricted Boltzmann Machines to extract deep voice features from basic acoustic features. And by training the Gaussian Mixture Model, this paper calculates the similarity value of the feature, and further determines the threshold of the similarity value of the feature through OTSU. After experimental testing, the algorithm in this paper has a false rejection rate of 3.00% for specific speakers, a false acceptance rate of 0.35% for internal speakers, and a false acceptance rate of 0 for external speakers. This improves the accuracy of traditional methods in open set voiceprint recognition. This proves that the method is feasible and good recognition effect. 展开更多
关键词 Voiceprint Recognition Deep Neural Network (DNN) OTSU Adaptive Threshold
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