Optimization research on supply and demand system for water resources in the Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration

Using system analysis theory and methods, a dynamic model of a water resource supply and demand system was built to simulate trends in the supply and demand of water in the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan （Chang-Zhu-Tan） urban agglomeration for the period 2012 to 2030. Four scenarios were examined; namely, a traditional development model, an economic development model, a water-saving model, and a coordinated development model. （i） The problem of balancing water resource supply and demand is becoming increasingly conspicuous with a growing population and a rapidly developing economy. （ii） By 2030, water demand is set to reach a total of 105.1 × 10^8 m^3, with a water supply of 5.4 × 10^8 m^3. A coordinated development model for water resource supply could meet the growing demands of socio-economic development, and generate huge comprehensive benefits. This will be the best solution for the development and utilization of a water resource supply and demand system in the Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration. （iii） We should accelerate the construction of water conservation projects, strengthen the management of water conservation, optimize economic structures, enhance our awareness of the importance of protecting water resources, hasten the recycling of waste water and environmental improvement, and promote utilization efficiency, and support the capabilities of water resources to meet our expectations.

Spatiotemporal influences of land use/cover changes on the heat island effect in rapid urbanization area

Rapid urban sprawl and growth led to substantial urban thermal environment changes and influenced the local climate, environment, and quality of life of residents. Taking the Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration in China as a case, this study firstly identified the spatiotemporal patterns of surface urban heat island intensity (SUHII) and the land use/cover changes (LUCC) based on multi-temporal Landsat TM satellite data over 21 years, and then investigated the relationship between LUCC and SUHII by methods of logistic regression model and centroid shift analysis. The results showed that green spaces (e.g., cropland, forestland) of 899.13 km2 had been converted to built-up land during the 1994—2015 period, which caused significant urban expansion. The SUHII was the highest for built-up land, high for unused land, low for cropland and grassland, and the lowest for forestland and open water. Many areas experienced extensive rapid urbanization because of the emergence of the urban agglomeration, which resulted in the loss of green spaces and increased SUHI effects over the 21-year study period. In addition, the results of centroid shift analysis found that the growth of SUHII and the expansion of high SUHII areas are closely related to the expansion of an existing urban area in Xiangtan, while the increases of building density and height in Changsha resulted in the decrease of SUHII and spatiotemporal change of high SUHII areas. The analysis of the effects of land use/cover types on the SUHII in this study will contribute to future urban land use allocation for the mitigation of SUHI formation.

基于多源数据的长沙市人居热环境效应及其影响因素分析

In view of the lack of comprehensive evaluation and analysis from the combination of natural and human multi-dimensional factors,the urban surface temperature patterns of Changsha in 2000,2009 and 2016 are retrieved based on multi-source spatial data(Landsat 5 and Landsat 8 satellite image data,POI spatial big data,digital elevation model,etc.),and 12 natural and human factors closely related to urban thermal environment are quickly obtained.The standard deviation ellipse and spatial principal component analysis(PCA)methods are used to analyze the effect of urban human residential thermal environment and its influencing factors.The results showed that the heat island area increased by 547 km~2 and the maximum surface temperature difference reached 10.1℃during the period 2000–2016.The spatial distribution of urban heat island was mainly concentrated in urban built-up areas,such as industrial and commercial agglomerations and densely populated urban centers.The spatial distribution pattern of heat island is gradually decreasing from the urban center to the suburbs.There were multiple high-temperature centers,such as Wuyi square business circle,Xingsha economic and technological development zone in Changsha County,Wangcheng industrial zone,Yuelu industrial agglomeration,and Tianxin industrial zone.From 2000 to 2016,the main axis of spatial development of heat island remained in the northeast-southwest direction.The center of gravity of heat island shifted 2.7 km to the southwest with the deflection angle of 54.9°in 2000–2009.The center of gravity of heat island shifted to the northeast by 4.8 km with the deflection angle of 60.9°in 2009–2016.On the whole,the change of spatial pattern of thermal environment in Changsha was related to the change of urban construction intensity.Through the PCA method,it was concluded that landscape pattern,urban construction intensity and topographic landforms were the main factors affecting the spatial pattern of urban thermal environment of Changsha.The promotion effect of human factors on the formation of heat island effect was obviously greater than that of natural factors.The temperature would rise by 0.293℃under the synthetic effect of human and natural factors.Due to the complexity of factors influencing the urban thermal environment of human settlements,the utilization of multi-source data could help to reveal the spatial pattern and evolution law of urban thermal environment,deepen the understanding of the causes of urban heat island effect,and clarify the correlation between human and natural factors,so as to provide scientific supports for the improvement of the quality of urban human settlements.