After the Kigali Amendment(KA)came into effect,HCFC-22 plants are obliged to limit HFC-23 emissions.Therefore,the study of costeffective mitigation pathways for HFC-23 is important for the sustainable implementation o...After the Kigali Amendment(KA)came into effect,HCFC-22 plants are obliged to limit HFC-23 emissions.Therefore,the study of costeffective mitigation pathways for HFC-23 is important for the sustainable implementation of KA in China and other HCFC-22 producing countries.This study constructed an inventory of HFC-23 by-production,emissions,and abatement for HCFC-22 plants in China from 2006 to 2020,and predicted the costs and climate benefits of HFC-23 abatement in China's compliance with the KA between 2021 and 2060.Results showed that HFC-23 emissions from HCFC-22 plants in China contributed about 60%of the growth in global atmospheric mole fraction of HFC-23 observed by Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment(AGAGE)from 2007 to 2020.Furthermore,China's cumulative HFC-23 abatement was about 109 kt(1613 Mt CO_(2)-eq)from 2006 to 2019,accounting for 53%of total by-production,which allowed the global atmospheric mole fraction and radiative forcing of HFC-23 in 2020 to avoid an uplift of 9.2×10^(-9)and i.7 mW m^(-2),respectively,contributing to climate change mitigation.Under the baseline of the Kigali Amendment,less emission(LE),and resource utilization(RU)scenarios,the cumulative HFC-23 abatement from 2021 to 2060 would be 683±29 kt(10,107±431 Mt CO_(2)-eq),694±29 kt(10,277±427 Mt CO_(2)-eq),and 702±29 kt(10,385±426 Mt CO_(2)-eq),respectively.The cumulative net abatement costs for the KA,LE,and RU scenarios would be(5.0±0.2)billion,(2.9±0.2)billion,and(-2.7±0.2)billion CNY(2021 prices),respectively.In the future,applying resource utilization technology to reduce HFC-23 emissions can achieve both climate and economic benefits.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2019YFC0214500)the Energy Foundation Beijing Representative Office in China.
文摘After the Kigali Amendment(KA)came into effect,HCFC-22 plants are obliged to limit HFC-23 emissions.Therefore,the study of costeffective mitigation pathways for HFC-23 is important for the sustainable implementation of KA in China and other HCFC-22 producing countries.This study constructed an inventory of HFC-23 by-production,emissions,and abatement for HCFC-22 plants in China from 2006 to 2020,and predicted the costs and climate benefits of HFC-23 abatement in China's compliance with the KA between 2021 and 2060.Results showed that HFC-23 emissions from HCFC-22 plants in China contributed about 60%of the growth in global atmospheric mole fraction of HFC-23 observed by Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment(AGAGE)from 2007 to 2020.Furthermore,China's cumulative HFC-23 abatement was about 109 kt(1613 Mt CO_(2)-eq)from 2006 to 2019,accounting for 53%of total by-production,which allowed the global atmospheric mole fraction and radiative forcing of HFC-23 in 2020 to avoid an uplift of 9.2×10^(-9)and i.7 mW m^(-2),respectively,contributing to climate change mitigation.Under the baseline of the Kigali Amendment,less emission(LE),and resource utilization(RU)scenarios,the cumulative HFC-23 abatement from 2021 to 2060 would be 683±29 kt(10,107±431 Mt CO_(2)-eq),694±29 kt(10,277±427 Mt CO_(2)-eq),and 702±29 kt(10,385±426 Mt CO_(2)-eq),respectively.The cumulative net abatement costs for the KA,LE,and RU scenarios would be(5.0±0.2)billion,(2.9±0.2)billion,and(-2.7±0.2)billion CNY(2021 prices),respectively.In the future,applying resource utilization technology to reduce HFC-23 emissions can achieve both climate and economic benefits.
