The relation between economic growth and population growth is a widely debated topic in economics.The discussioncircles around three main views about demography;(i) Population Neutralism,(ii) Demographic Dividends,and...The relation between economic growth and population growth is a widely debated topic in economics.The discussioncircles around three main views about demography;(i) Population Neutralism,(ii) Demographic Dividends,and (iii)Demographic Traps.This paper provides a quantitative definition of the demographic trap based on the theoreticaldemographic distribution curve.We then compare the results of the world’s two most populous countries,China and India.The results show that India may fall into a demographic trap while China will not and,hence these two countries exhibittwo distinctly opposite demographic characteristics.Extending the results to include examination of a set of rich and poorcountries,we conclude that there is no evidence of a demographic trap in the U.S.and Canada,while it is highly possiblethat Algeria and Angola will get caught in one.展开更多
The United Nations passed two important resolutions,Transforming our World:The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement,in 2015 to change our world.The 17 Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs)were...The United Nations passed two important resolutions,Transforming our World:The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement,in 2015 to change our world.The 17 Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs)were adopted as the core of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development,which set out a 15-year plan to achieve the goals.展开更多
文摘The relation between economic growth and population growth is a widely debated topic in economics.The discussioncircles around three main views about demography;(i) Population Neutralism,(ii) Demographic Dividends,and (iii)Demographic Traps.This paper provides a quantitative definition of the demographic trap based on the theoreticaldemographic distribution curve.We then compare the results of the world’s two most populous countries,China and India.The results show that India may fall into a demographic trap while China will not and,hence these two countries exhibittwo distinctly opposite demographic characteristics.Extending the results to include examination of a set of rich and poorcountries,we conclude that there is no evidence of a demographic trap in the U.S.and Canada,while it is highly possiblethat Algeria and Angola will get caught in one.
基金supported by the International ResearchCenter of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals(CBAS)(CBASYX0906)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(grant number XDA19090122)+1 种基金key scientific and technological research projects in the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps(grant number 2023AB074)the Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS under grant Y2022050.R.B.S.thankfully acknowledges a grant fromthe Swedish ResearchCouncil(Formas)(grant number 2022-02033).
文摘The United Nations passed two important resolutions,Transforming our World:The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement,in 2015 to change our world.The 17 Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs)were adopted as the core of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development,which set out a 15-year plan to achieve the goals.