The Situation of Southeast Asia in 2017 and Assessment of Its Relations with China

The situation in Southeast Asia in 2017 was generally stable,as relations with China continued to improve,and progress in maritime consultations continued to develop.I.The political situation is stable and generally manageable Stability is manifested in the following aspects.The governments of the Philippines,Myanmar,Vietnam,Laos are seeking stability and good governance.

Looking at the 2015 South Asia Regional Hot-spots

The regional hotspots of South Asia in 2015 may be looked at from two angles.In the first place,the reconstruction process in Afghanistan has run into serious difficulties,with several major transitions'uncompleted,'casting ambiguity on the future of the Kabul regime.In 2014,Afghanistan,together with the international community,tried hard to advance its political,economic and security reconstructions.Although some achievements have been made,the three transitions have not been completed,leaving'unfinished projects'for 2015.First,in security,despite the fact that the Afghanistan War,led by the U.S.and NATO,was over,the chaos that has ensued from this war is

The Doklam Standoff Crisis and the Future of Sino-Indian Relations

Doklam Standoff, a crisis of Sino-Indian bilateral relations, was a large-scale military deployment between China and India. The crisis reflects the newly forming distrust between the two countries that led to an outburst as a result of a series of conflicts over the past two years, which signifies that Sino-Indian relations are entering a new stage characterized by increasingly obvious structural conflict. On the surface, the Modi Administration designed the crisis to stop China from building border infrastructure, to pursue its own absolute security, to maintain South Asian order dominated by India, and to consolidate the basis of strategic cooperation among India, the United States and Japan. Ultimately, however, the British buffer zone theory, the Mandala theory, the Brahmin supremacy theory in traditional Indian culture and the US Monroe Doctrine have also shaped the mindset and behavioral patterns of the Modi Administration. Under the influence of seeking absolute security and its strategic culture, as well as the strong desire to be a great power, the assertive Modi Administration has obviously strengthened its precautionary measures and hostilities toward China. The relations between the two countries are becoming tense. In order to achieve the goal of ＂dragon and elephant dancing together＂, and to avoid the recurrence of crises like the Doklam Standoff, the two sides have to adhere to the two basic principles of viewing each other as opporttmities for development instead of threats to each other. The mindset of a zero-sum game should be abandoned, and efforts should be made to co-found mutual respect and win-win cooperation in areas of common interest.

Security Governance of the Indian Ocean: Challenges and Way Forward

In stark contrast to the increasing geopolitical and geo-economic value of the Indian Ocean, the effects of regional governance mechanisms are less satisfactory than expected to address the intertwined traditional and non-traditional security threats. The international community should, based on existing security mechanisms, work to build a kind of governance that is more open, inclusive, pragmatic and sustainable.

New Trends and Prospects of the Afghan Peace Process

The Afghan peace process has taken on a new look with the acceleration of related negotiations, but there are still differences between the parties that have to be resolved. China will consistently support a peace process led and owned by the Afghans, and strive to play an active and constructive role in Afghanistan's reconstruction and development efforts.

The New Trend of India's Rising as a Great Power

Since Modi took office as Indian prime minister in 2014,India has quickened its pace toward great power status.Although the Indian government did not issue relevant documents and did not systematically give official statements,from the perspective of Modi’s domestic and foreign policies the outline of its strategy of rising as a great power

南亚三大安全挑战同频共振

In 2023, South Asia faced three major security challenges, namely, intensifying US efforts to incorporate South Asia into the “Indo–Pacific” strategy framework, the emergence of India's ambition to dominate South Asia, and the threat of a new round of violence and terrorism.

印度对美“契而不合”

In 2023, India continued to advance its cooperation with the United States. In January, the high-profile initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology(iCET) was launched. In June, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi made his first official state visit to the United States. In September.

How Will Modi's New Term Affect the Development of China-India Ties?

If Modi takes the office again,his administration is likely to continue.its previous aggressive policy towards China.This may manifest in maintaining strategic restraint but an unyielding approach to the boundary question.

India's Engagement With East Asia and The China Factor

Introduction India’s engagement with East Asia has enjoyed a long history. In ancient times, the Indian Civilization exerted substantial influence on Southeast and East Asia. Buddhism, originating on the Subcontinent more than

Recent Political Developments in India and Their Effects

In March 2017, Narendra Modi led his Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP) to victory in state elections, among which he gained parliamentary election of Uttar Pradesh(state in northern India), known as the weather vane of Indian elections. Back in 2014, the BJP had already won a simple majority in Lok Sabha(the lower house of parliament), bringing an end to more than 30 years of coalition government. Now, the BJP is exhibiting stronger presence as a one-party-rule at both federal and local levels, with no counter-balance from the Indian National Congress, local parties, or left wing parties now or in the foreseeable future. This increases the likelihood of Modi's re-election as prime minister in 2019. Obviously,Indian political development is characterized by complexity, accidental factors and intrinsic logic, which will definitely exert great influence on the future of India.

Handling the Global Financial Crisis:China's Policy Response and Its Assessment

Though a star economy during the past few decades,China has proven not to be crisis-proof and is suffering in the American-made global financial crisis.In response,the Chinese government has adjusted its macroeconomic policy swiftly and implemented a counter-cycle policy,including a proactive fiscal policy,a moderately easy monetary policy and an active international cooperation policy.The Chinese government's policy is a comprehensive one,effectively combining investment,domestic consumption and foreign trade,short-term and long-term needs,economic growth and social development,and self-development and international cooperation.The Chinese government's policy has produced generally good results so far and will be continued.

Reflections on Changes to the International Order

The current international order,especially regionally speaking,is chaotic,with the following four main features:First,the great game between the U.S.and China is the key driver behind contemporary changes to the international order.Both China and the U.S.are big powers with global influence:One is the biggest

The Way to a Secure and Stable Afghanistan

The U.S. and its NATO allies have realized that problems in Afghanistan can not be solved militarily, yet negotiation with insurgent groups is extremely difficult. The only way to a secure and stable Afghanistan is through national reconciliation.

European Powers’ Engagement in the Indian Ocean:Features, Motives and Implications

The increasing engagement of European powers in the Indian Ocean has turned the region into a hotspot where strategic coordination and policy differences among major powers are intertwined. While leading to significant changes in the regional landscape, challenges remain that restrict the outcomes and prospects of the engagement. A “soft” strategy is expected to make up for the deficiencies in “hard” input, and India’s strategic position will grow as it looms as the focal point for partnerships with European powers in the region.

India’s Perception and Policy Preference of Global Economic Governance

As the world economy evolves at unprecedented speed,it is clear that the present global economic governance system has failed to keep up.The developing countries will inevitably take on more responsibilities and obligations to build a fairer and more equitable global economic governance system reflecting their growing economic clout.

印度莫迪政府对华产业替代政策

Since 2020,the Modi government has sought to implement the policy of industrial substitution for China as an important approach to economic autonomy and industrial rejuvenation.Based on the Modi government’s industrial policy practices,its substitution policy for Chinese industries comprises three parts.A favorable domestic political ecology,an encouraging geostrategic environment,and a relatively solid industrial foundation provide the Modi government with the conditions and confidence to implement this policy.Nevertheless,owing to the conservatism of India’s domestic political culture,expediency in helping and appeasing India by the US,reversal of economic globalization,and sustainability of China’s industrial policy to break new ground,Modi’s substitution policy for Chinese industries has found limited success.However,considering India’s substantial economic size and the strategic support of the US and other developed nations in the West,the Modi government’s substitution policy for Chinese industries can still disrupt China’s efforts to build and maintain a healthier production chain.

巴基斯坦大国外交调整透视

Pakistan,China’s all-weather strategic cooperative partner,has recently undergone a significant adjustment in its major country diplomacy,particularly in its policies toward the United States and Russia.The triangular relationship among Pakistan,the United States,and Russia has changed from a previous severely unbalanced state,in which the Pakistan–United States relationship is stronger and the Pakistan–Russia relationship is weaker,to a relatively dynamic equilibrium state in which the Pakistan–United States relationship declines while the Pakistan–Russia relationship rises.At the same time,although Pakistan’s policy toward India and China has continued the central tone of Pakistan–India confrontation and Pakistan–China friendship,several new changes and trends have emerged.While Pakistan–India relations are generally tense,Pakistan has performed active management of crises to keep conflicts from getting out of control and leading to war or other combat.Pakistan has long actively maintained friendly relations with China and is focusing on promoting practical cooperation in the form of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor.The current round of adjustment to Pakistan’s major country diplomacy stems from multiple internal and external factors.Externally,the United States has begun to promote its“Indo-Pacific”strategy,and the Ukraine crisis has played a catalytic role as well.Internally,these changes can mainly be ascribed to the major changes in Pakistan’s leadership,as well as the country’s severe domestic political and economic challenges,as well as the urgent need for external support,especially from major countries,to improve the domestic situation.Pakistan’s major country diplomacy adjustment has had relatively obvious geopolitical and security impacts so far at the global and regional levels,but it is limited by the international situation,its own strategic orientation,and national conditions.Pakistan’s relations with major countries continue to face structural challenges.

Australia-China Bilateral Relations:Mixed Messages

In April 2014, Prime Minister Tony Abbott visited the People＇s Republic of China （PRC） for the first time in his capacity as Australia＇s leader. He went with three key messages： to assure China that Australia was ＇ open for business＇; to affirm his commitment to finalizing the Australia-China Free Trade Agreement （FTA） by November 2014; and to offer Australia as a ＇ true friend＇ of China. In principle, these were excellent messages to send. Turning them into reality, however, is going to require some fundamental changes in Australian attitudes towards China, from the top levels of government to the public in general. Under the new leadership of Prime Minister Tumbull, the time is absolutely right to start driving that change.

Putting Sri Lanka’s Debt Issue into Perspective

By reviewing the current situation of Sri Lanka's debt problem, as well as its nature, causes and relation with Chinese loans, this article argues that the loans from China are neither the main source nor the main cause of Sri Lanka's debt problem. Instead, the projects they financed will bring promising economic returns to Sri Lanka in the long run.